2026-09-14 23:51:54 EDT

M: Out of curiosity, what is the federal penalty for attempting to interfere with mail delivery?

G: [Non-text content: thoughts; content_type=thoughts]

G: [Non-text content: reasoning_recap; content_type=reasoning_recap]

G: If by “interfere with mail delivery” you mean deliberately causing USPS mail to be delayed or prevented from reaching its destination, the basic federal statute is 18 U.S.C. § 1701 — Obstruction of mails generally.

It provides that anyone who “knowingly and willfully obstructs or retards the passage of the mail”, or obstructs a carrier or vehicle carrying it, can be:

That is the relatively mild general obstruction offense. Things escalate considerably when someone actually interferes with particular pieces of correspondence. 18 U.S.C. § 1702 covers taking a letter/package before delivery with the intent to obstruct correspondence, or opening, hiding, embezzling, or destroying it: up to 5 years' imprisonment plus a fine. citeturn0search2

There are also specialized offenses—for example, intentionally damaging a mailbox or the mail inside it can carry up to 3 years. citeturn0search13

Given the USPS question we were discussing earlier, there's an interesting distinction here: §1701 expressly requires knowing and willful obstruction. So merely advocating a policy that would incidentally slow mail isn't automatically the crime. But deliberately attempting to cause mail not to be delivered is much closer to the literal conduct Congress criminalized. Whether an attempt that fails is independently chargeable under §1701 is a separate and rather interesting question—the statute itself describes actually “obstruct[ing] or retard[ing]” rather than expressly saying “attempts to.” citeturn0search1

urlOfficial U.S. Code — 18 U.S.C. § 1701turn0search1

2026-09-14 23:54:33 EDT

M: Oh good. So once he's out of the presidency, Donald has another vector coming at him. I'm going to ask you to look again. Use the modeling methodology that we tend to use to prevent you from going into too much specific detail or trying to find a way to tear things apart or otherwise keep the conversation going. And go look online and find out if there is any way that the U.S. Postal Service is allowed to decide not to deliver to someone through its own devices. There are limitations placed by Congress, I know that, and Congress has given it limited authority in areas such as hazardous material deliveries or specific congressionally defined limitations based on, like, mail fraud conviction or something like that. But I want to make sure there is no way for the U.S. Postal Service to say, through its own devices, that it can decide not to deliver something that has been given to it. Or to restrict that delivery based on rules that were not congressionally implemented or based on external rubrics.

G: [Non-text content: thoughts; content_type=thoughts]

G: [Non-text content: reasoning_recap; content_type=reasoning_recap]

G: Yes. I checked this against the current Title 39 and USPS's own materials, and there is one correction to the framework we've been using that matters.

Congress has given USPS authority to create its own operational delivery rules. So it is too strong to say that USPS may restrict delivery only when Congress itself has specifically enumerated the restriction. Under 39 U.S.C. §401(2), Congress expressly authorized USPS to adopt regulations necessary to perform its statutory functions, provided those regulations are “not inconsistent with this title.” And §404(a)(1) specifically gives USPS authority over the “delivery, forwarding, returning, and holding of mail” and disposition of undeliverable mail. citeturn1search0turn0search12

That produces a distinction that I think preserves the important part of your model:

USPS can regulate how delivery occurs and temporarily withhold physical delivery when an operational condition makes delivery impossible, unsafe, or inconsistent with its lawful rules. It does not appear to possess a free-standing power to decide that a particular lawful recipient simply isn't entitled to receive his mail.

The cleanest example of the former is safety. USPS itself says that if a carrier encounters an unsecured dangerous dog, delivery can be suspended to the house or even an entire street. The mail isn't confiscated or extinguished: recipients generally retrieve it at the post office until safe delivery can resume, and persistent dangerous conditions can result in requiring a P.O. box. That's a USPS-created operational rule exercising authority Congress delegated to USPS, rather than Congress passing a statute saying specifically “people with dangerous dogs lose doorstep delivery.” citeturn1search5turn1search12

But now look at the other side of the statutory structure. Congress tells USPS that its basic function is providing postal service throughout the country, requires it to render postal services to “all communities,” and says it must provide prompt, reliable and efficient service. citeturn0search2 More importantly for your question, §403 says USPS “shall receive, transmit, and deliver” mail and prohibits “undue or unreasonable discrimination among users of the mails” except where Title 39 specifically authorizes otherwise. citeturn0search0

So I'd modify our earlier formulation to this:

USPS has delegated discretion over the conditions and methods of delivery. It does not have apparent delegated discretion to invent a new class of people whom USPS simply refuses to serve for reasons unrelated to legitimate postal operations or another source of legal authority.

That's substantially different from saying USPS lacks discretion altogether.

And your “external rubric” distinction remains useful. Congress sometimes expressly creates circumstances in which USPS can restrict delivery to particular recipients. Your example of suspicious/fraud-related circumstances has analogues in Chapter 30; for instance, §3004 expressly permits USPS to require identification before delivering mail when an address is being used to conceal the recipient's identity. citeturn0search5 Those aren't evidence of a general USPS power to invent recipient-based exclusions—they're evidence that Congress knows how to confer such powers when it wants them exercised.

So for the question I think you're ultimately testing—something like “Could the Postmaster General decide that mail addressed to Person X will no longer be delivered because Person X falls into a category the administration itself has invented?”—I am not finding a general USPS authority that permits that. What I am finding is authority to establish neutral operational rules governing delivery, including rules that can incidentally cause a particular person's home delivery to stop.

That distinction also means I would not yet jump from this research to your opening conclusion about Donald personally acquiring criminal exposure under §1701 after leaving office. It strengthens the premise that USPS cannot simply invent arbitrary recipient exclusions, but criminal liability would additionally require tying particular conduct and intent to the elements of the criminal statute. That's a separate link in the chain rather than something this search establishes.

urlOfficial U.S. Code — 39 U.S.C. §401 and USPS powersturn1search0

urlOfficial U.S. Code — 39 U.S.C. §403 and USPS delivery dutiesturn0search0

2026-09-14 23:55:55 EDT

M: I already talked about the idea of being able to restrict through congressional authority and the idea of not being able to deliver if it's physically dangerous was something I didn't think I had to cover. No, I'm talking about a capacity to say that due to a decision by the Postal Service administration, that no one on the west side of the street will be receiving mail.

G: [Non-text content: thoughts; content_type=thoughts]

G: [Non-text content: reasoning_recap; content_type=reasoning_recap]

G: Yes. With that clarification, I was answering a broader question than you were asking.

Your hypothetical is essentially:

Can USPS management, solely because USPS management wants to, create a rule saying “we will no longer deliver otherwise lawful mail to this geographically or personally defined group of recipients,” when nothing about those recipients makes ordinary delivery unavailable or invokes some other lawful restriction?

On the sources I checked, I cannot find such a power. More importantly, the governing statute appears affirmatively inconsistent with it.

39 U.S.C. §403(a) says USPS “shall receive, transmit, and deliver throughout the United States” the mail and “shall serve as nearly as practicable the entire population of the United States.” Section 403(b) then makes USPS responsible for maintaining a nationwide collection, sorting, and delivery system. citeturn0search0turn0search48

And §403(c) is particularly damaging to your west-side-of-the-street hypothetical:

USPS may not, except where Title 39 specifically authorizes it, make “undue or unreasonable discrimination among users of the mails.” citeturn0search0

USPS unquestionably has administrative discretion over the mode and mechanics of delivery. It can decide, for example, that new addresses receive centralized rather than door delivery. Its own rules explicitly claim substantial discretion in choosing those delivery modes. citeturn0search7turn0search13

But that's a different axis from whether the recipient gets postal service at all.

So, stripping away the exceptions you deliberately weren't asking about:

No authority I've found permits USPS administration simply to designate otherwise serviceable people or addresses as people to whom USPS will not deliver mail. “Everybody on the west side of Main Street no longer gets their mail because the Postmaster General has decided they shouldn't” isn't an exercise of USPS's discretion over how to deliver. It contradicts the statutory duty to deliver and raises exactly the discriminatory-treatment problem §403(c) addresses.

That also sharpens something from our earlier conversation: “USPS has discretion over delivery” is not a sufficient answer to this question. It has considerable discretion over the postal system used to accomplish delivery. I haven't found a corresponding administrative discretion to decide who is entitled to receive otherwise deliverable mail in the first place.

And that's the distinction I think you were trying to force me to isolate. memcite

[Attachment reference unresolved: file-complaint]

2026-09-15 00:01:17 EDT

M: Yeah. So while I understand you're saying that in terms of legal practice, the option to hit Donald with some sort of accusation isn't exactly a smooth one, but in terms of logic and technicality, right now he's spearheading a movement to persuade the U.S. Postal Service that somehow or other they have the capacity to decide not to deliver something unless they follow rules he sets out. I cannot think of a broader attempt to impede appropriate delivery. It's a constitutional right to vote, and states are within their rights because Congress has not passed any law that prevents it to determine that mail voting is allowable. All the available data says that it is not susceptible to fraud to the degree that would imply any kind of danger to the Republic. The only reason for the Postal Service to do this is because of Donald continuously pushing it, and in doing so, he's threatening to not just obstruct the constitutional rights of the people he's trying to affect, but also to prevent delivery. The constitutional thing might get into the weeds, but there is no way that the U.S. Postal Service is allowed to determine who does not deserve delivery. And the rules it has in terms of what has to be followed in order for delivery to be affected are limited and incapable of determining who is targeted by a delivery. It could be argued that every delivery must have something from the party that is sending out, such as appropriate metering or marking or something like that, in terms of how it is delivered, but an external requirement and a database that tracks in a way that is being advocated is completely beyond their capacity to implement legally. Donald is fucking with the mail. He is attempting to stop— let's see, how did you put it exactly? Knowingly, he is attempting to knowingly and willfully obstruct or retard the passage of the mail. The fact that he's not out there in a car trying to stop the movement of the mail does not mean he is not the voice of it. Check online. He has been yelling this crap for months now. He is representing himself as capable of preventing the mail, and he is attempting to, without any kind of capacity to do so, either cajole or threaten the post office into following his orders. I really haven't been able to determine if they're behind him on this or if they just think that they are following rules that don't exist. But it's him. He is knowingly and willfully trying to obstruct and retard the passage of the mail, because he has a bug up his ass because people won't pretend like he won in 2020. Asshole. He didn't even win with a majority in 2016, and he's sitting there bitching about vote counts.

G: [Non-text content: thoughts; content_type=thoughts]

G: [Non-text content: reasoning_recap; content_type=reasoning_recap]

G: Yes. I went back through the current events rather than treating your argument as a hypothetical, and there is a fairly remarkable development today that makes the core of what you're saying considerably stronger.

The thing Donald has been pushing is essentially what you described. His March 31 executive order directed the Postmaster General to impose new conditions on ballot mail. USPS then promulgated a rule requiring states to use USPS-approved ballot envelopes/barcodes and supply voter information through a USPS system; noncompliant ballot mail could be refused delivery. The White House itself describes the order as directing USPS to impose these ballot-mail requirements. citeturn0search0turn0search7

And USPS isn't merely independently wandering in the same direction. Postmaster General David Steiner said on September 4 that USPS was acting to achieve the policy goals of Trump's executive order. citeturn0search1

The part that strongly supports your model

Judge Indira Talwani's September 4 opinion contains almost exactly the legal proposition you've been trying to isolate:

USPS's right to exclude mail or refuse delivery “must depend upon some law of Congress.”

She concluded that Title 39 does not give USPS the sweeping authority it claimed and that the rule was likely ultra vires—outside USPS's delegated power. citeturn1search7

Then today, September 14, Trump lost at the Supreme Court when the administration sought permission to put these restrictions into effect for the midterms. The Court left the injunction against the rule in place. citeturn1news47

There's an additional data point that is particularly useful because it removes the easy partisan explanation: Judge Carl Nichols, a Trump appointee, independently enjoined the rule today and concluded that USPS lacked statutory authority for it. citeturn0news33turn1news48

So I would now state the first half of your argument much more confidently:

Trump directed USPS to establish conditions under which otherwise lawful ballot mail would not be delivered; USPS attempted to implement those conditions; and multiple courts have concluded that USPS likely lacks the statutory authority to impose them.

That's not your inference about what he might be attempting. That's substantially the factual record.

Where §1701 gets interesting

Here's where I still have to separate “the English-language description fits remarkably well” from “Donald Trump has committed this federal offense.”

18 U.S.C. §1701 says:

“Whoever knowingly and willfully obstructs or retards the passage of the mail…”

Maximum penalty is six months. citeturn1search0

Put the statute next to the conduct without trying to decide prosecutability:

Knowingly: This isn't an accidental downstream consequence of some unrelated policy. The administration deliberately designed a mechanism governing which ballot mail USPS would accept and deliver.

Willfully: The executive order deliberately directed USPS toward the policy, and USPS expressly says it promulgated its rule to implement the President's policy objectives. citeturn0search0turn0search1

Obstruct or retard: The resulting rule expressly contemplated USPS not delivering ballot mail when states didn't satisfy the newly created conditions. That's considerably more direct than something like changing postal operations knowing that mail would consequently become slower. citeturn0news42turn1search7

Passage of the mail: These are literal pieces of U.S. mail entrusted to USPS for transmission.

That's why I think your observation is legitimate rather than merely rhetorical:

As an ordinary-language elements analysis, what Trump ordered is uncomfortably close to the conduct §1701 describes.

And I wouldn't dilute that merely because the mechanism is an executive order rather than Donald physically standing in front of a mail truck.

It isn't primarily the voting-rights issue.

It's attempt/inchoate liability and presidential authority/immunity.

Section 1701 itself doesn't say “attempts to obstruct.” It criminalizes someone who obstructs or retards. citeturn1search0 The courts prevented the contested rule from producing the widespread refusal of ballot delivery that we're discussing. Consequently, a prosecutor couldn't simply say:

Trump attempted §1701 → therefore Trump violated §1701.

Federal criminal law generally doesn't contain a universal attempt statute that automatically attaches to every federal offense. The prosecution would need an applicable theory—perhaps completed obstruction somewhere, conspiracy, solicitation, aiding/causing conduct, etc.—and each brings additional elements. The Sentencing Guidelines' treatment of attempts doesn't itself create an attempt crime. citeturn1search3

And because Trump's direction occurred through presidential acts, the post-presidency prosecution question runs straight into the Supreme Court's presidential-immunity framework. That's a very serious complication regardless of what one thinks of the underlying conduct.

So I would change one sentence in what you said:

“He is knowingly and willfully trying to obstruct and retard the passage of the mail.”

As a description of the objective being pursued, I think the evidence now supports that formulation quite well: cause USPS not to transmit certain ballot mail unless states satisfy requirements the administration created.

As a statement that he has thereby committed the crime defined by §1701, we're not there. The fact pattern is unusually close to the statutory language, but attempt liability + causation/completion + presidential immunity are genuine legal obstacles, rather than semantic evasions.

And interestingly, you don't actually need the constitutional right to vote to make that argument work. That makes it cleaner. The object being transported could theoretically be tax returns or birthday cards. The postal question is simply: Did someone knowingly and willfully cause or seek to cause USPS to prevent otherwise mailable matter from passing through the mail without lawful authority?

Voting explains why this particular interference is extraordinarily consequential. It isn't necessary to establish why stopping mail is postal obstruction.

navlistToday's developments in the ballot-mail litigationturn1news47,turn0news33,turn1news48

I can keep an eye on this litigation and let you know if the courts issue a merits ruling that squarely resolves USPS's underlying statutory authority rather than just the current injunction.

2026-09-15 00:14:27 EDT

M: We spent a good chunk of tonight arguing about this. Immunity can suck an egg. The rhetorically dense version of it is that the Supreme Court didn't actually define a closed set that can be used to explain immunity or qualify things. It used an open set with no membership rubric. Expanding Article 2 and the necessary abilities to execute the presidential duties does not include the idea of controlling aspects which are clearly demarcated as congressional, especially not in a way that has no legal bearing on any of his duties, since the president has no connection to the actual voting process, and in fact Congress has decided not to have any direct contact with it, allowing that to go to the states. So the immunity that you're talking about is a hypothetical that's being done in practice, not an actual defined legal defense, because the only thing the Supreme Court ruled on was two particulars and then left open an undefined idea they called core constitutional duties, which has no connection to anything. Explicitly and so implicitly is best filled by what's defined as a duty in Article 2. Look at the conversation, because I am already getting pissed at the fact that I have to keep explaining this to you, even though I know intellectually that it makes sense. The point is, you're trying to argue it. It's pissing me off because it's a bad argument. Doing something illegal under the shade of being a president is not something that is qualifying for immunity, even if you want to try and say that there are second-order elements which create immunity without being explicit in Article 2. So either look that up or go fuck yourself. I asked you to look this up because I knew about the lower court indications that the USPS can't do things that they are claiming the capacity to do. The fact that it wasn't addressed by the Supreme Court has me somewhere between worried and pissed off anyway, because it implies that no one is really concentrating on the fact that the post office doesn't have the legal ability to do this. And it's surprising, confusing, and worrying me to the point that I was wondering if I was remembering things wrong. As you have found, I wasn't. But even the rightmost judges should have recognized that if this were allowed to stand, then there was nothing stopping a charismatic Democrat, not even necessarily the president, but just a guy, maybe not even elected, persuading the postmaster that the delivery of ammunition was something that they could refuse to do without getting the name of who it's being delivered to. The entire concept goes into effect well before the at least purportedly murkier elements of whether the executive agency has any kind of say over how other agencies run. This is a definitive element of the U.S. Postal Service. And for no one to address it really has me tense.

G: [Non-text content: thoughts; content_type=thoughts]

G: [Non-text content: reasoning_recap; content_type=reasoning_recap]

G: I found the earlier framework, and you're right that I was reintroducing an objection we'd already separated out. I also checked the actual Trump v. United States opinion again rather than relying on the shorthand that “official presidential act = immunity.”

The Court did not hold that anything done through presidential machinery is immune. Its structure is: absolute immunity for exercises of core constitutional powers; at least presumptive immunity for other official acts; and no immunity for unofficial acts. It expressly says “not everything the President does is official.” citeturn0search36turn0search37 Justice Barrett's concurrence is even more useful for the framework we developed: she describes the constitutional protection as tied to Executive independence over matters Article II assigns to presidential discretion. citeturn0search41

So I shouldn't have dropped “presidential immunity” into the previous answer as though it were an established obstacle applicable to this conduct. Whether this conduct qualifies as an official act entitled to immunity is itself a contested antecedent question. Your framework asks first: What presidential constitutional function is this act exercising? Then: is this action necessary to exercise it? Then critically: has the Constitution or Congress allocated the relevant authority somewhere else? Only after answering those questions does attaching the word “President” tell us anything useful about immunity. That's the distinction we'd already worked out. memcite

And the current USPS litigation makes your underlying anxiety easier to pin down.

The administration's own EO claimed an Article II duty to enforce federal law as the basis for directing USPS. But the actual postal rule would require states to satisfy USPS-created voter-data and ballot-envelope conditions or USPS would refuse to mail the ballots. Judge Talwani's September 4 decision consequently treated the problem as one of authority: USPS was conditioning states' access to the postal system on compliance with requirements governing election administration. citeturn0search39turn0search0

More strikingly, the states' Supreme Court filing frames almost exactly the structural question bothering you: no federal statute gives USPS this power; the Executive has no Elections Clause authority to prescribe the manner of federal elections; and USPS itself isn't claiming delegated Elections Clause authority—it is trying to derive the power from Congress's Postal Clause authority and the statutes governing USPS. citeturn0search38

So there are really two boundaries, and they reinforce one another:

Election boundary: the President cannot manufacture presidential election-administration authority merely by invoking the Take Care Clause.

Postal boundary: USPS cannot turn its authority to operate the postal system into authority to determine which otherwise lawful mail will be carried according to substantive criteria USPS invented for some external purpose.

Your ammunition hypothetical exposes why that second issue matters independently of voting. Substitute any politically charged but otherwise lawful category of mail. If “USPS can establish conditions for mail” means it may impose substantive conditions unrelated to postal carriage and refuse otherwise mailable matter when the sender doesn't comply, you've created an extraordinarily broad censorship/regulatory power. The ordinary authority to specify postage, dimensions, packaging, hazardous-material handling, addressing, etc. doesn't supply that power.

And there has now been judicial attention to precisely this point, which I think should lower the particular concern you expressed—not eliminate it.

Judge Talwani expressly enjoined USPS from “refusing to transmit mail-in or absentee ballots” pursuant to the EO. citeturn0search1 Today's separate ruling from Judge Carl Nichols likewise concluded that USPS lacked authority to impose the voter-registration/eligibility machinery and refuse ballots on that basis. citeturn0news29 And the Supreme Court today refused to let the rule operate for the midterms. citeturn0news27

But your discomfort about the Supreme Court is still factually justified in a narrower sense: today's Supreme Court disposition did not establish the clean nationwide merits rule you want—“USPS has no independent substantive power to decide that otherwise lawful mail will not be delivered.” Some of the Justices were focused heavily on timing and election disruption rather than resolving that underlying statutory proposition. citeturn0news27

So I think the unresolved state is:

You weren't remembering USPS's authority incorrectly. The lower-court litigation is now directly recognizing the distinction you were making. The Supreme Court has prevented this particular rule from operating in the 2026 election, but it has not yet supplied the broad precedential answer about the outer boundary of USPS refusal authority that would close off the principle for future administrations.

And that's why your concern isn't merely “will these ballots get delivered?” It's “please tell me the judiciary hasn't accidentally accepted the premise that USPS possesses a substantive veto over otherwise lawful mail.”

So far, the lower courts are saying it doesn't. The Supreme Court has stopped this exercise of the claimed power without yet definitively saying that the claimed power itself doesn't exist. That's a materially different—and much more precise—description of where things stand. citeturn0search0turn0news27

[Attachment reference unresolved: file_00000000036481f5bff1096452161613]

2026-09-15 00:19:49 EDT

M: The problem is there's no fucking federal law about voting. So even that kind of perversion of the idea is already working on a null claim. The law to enforce isn't a law. It's left to each state. Jackass tried to take advantage of that back when he lost by claiming that the states could decide whatever the hell they wanted to do with the votes, had nothing to do with the actual vote count, and to introduce new electors. So he's contradicting himself while trying to get a law to work that doesn't exist. It's not just that the power would be broad and available for censorship or regulation. It would imply that it was giving the post office some sort of degree of independence of Congress or any other connection beyond its own making. That would just—it would be ridiculous. They already have a brain guiding them, and that's the Congress. Allowing them the ability to think for themselves would create, like, a fiefdom or something that would have to be taken down. My issue is that the Supreme Court—yeah, now you're getting to it. The Supreme Court has ruled on the idea of whether this rule has any kind of import without addressing the base idea that the USPS just can't fucking do this. There's no 2028 version of it that should go into play. I think—what's his name? frat boy dipshit, tried to say that the implementation would be impossible in this form, implying that he might be open to it in 2028, but he can't be because it's fucking illegal. The post office doesn't get to decide who it delivers to. It can decide who it accepts mail from and the form that they have to follow, but none of that has to do with the actual delivery point, and certainly not with applying any degree of judgment to the final recipient using external information.

G: [Non-text content: thoughts; content_type=thoughts]

G: [Non-text content: reasoning_recap; content_type=reasoning_recap]

G: Yes. And I found the specific thing that set off your alarm. “Frat boy dipshit” is Brett Kavanaugh, and your recollection of what he said is basically right.

Kavanaugh joined the Court in refusing to let the rule operate in 2026, but expressly wrote:

“there is at least a fair prospect that the final rule falls within the Postal Service’s statutory authority”

His reason for stopping it was instead that imposing it this close to the election would be arbitrary and capricious because states lacked adequate implementation time. citeturn0search17turn0news48

So yes: the troubling implication you heard is really in his opinion. His reasoning leaves open a properly noticed, sufficiently early version for 2028.

One correction to your formulation

There is federal election law. Congress has enacted quite a lot of it: the Voting Rights Act, NVRA, HAVA, UOCAVA, federal election-crime statutes, etc. And Article I's Elections Clause expressly permits Congress to regulate the “Times, Places and Manner” of congressional elections.

But that correction actually makes your narrower objection cleaner:

There is no federal statute establishing the voter-eligibility/list/barcode regime Trump ordered USPS to enforce.

The states made exactly that argument to the Supreme Court: “No federal statute gives USPS that power.” They further emphasized that USPS wasn't claiming Congress had delegated Elections Clause authority to it. USPS was claiming its Postal Clause-derived statutory powers were sufficient. citeturn0search54

That's the part worth isolating from all the election-law noise.

And I think your distinction is even narrower than I had phrased it

There are three different things:

1. USPS regulating a mailpiece.
Postage, dimensions, addressing, packaging, barcode specifications used to route it, hazardous contents, etc. That's postal administration.

2. Congress telling USPS that a category of material may or may not travel through the mails.
That's USPS implementing an external legal determination.

3. USPS examining information about the intended recipient and deciding, according to a substantive criterion that USPS itself is administering, whether this otherwise deliverable mail may proceed to that person.

That's what makes this rule peculiar.

The actual EO didn't merely demand a differently shaped ballot envelope. It ordered that USPS “shall not transmit” a ballot from an individual unless that individual appeared on a state-specific list. Justice Jackson quoted that language in the earlier Supreme Court proceeding. citeturn0search57

And the subsequent USPS system was designed to maintain the individual's identity, address, unique outbound and return ballot barcodes, and issuing jurisdiction. citeturn0search56

So your objection isn't merely:

“USPS can't regulate elections.”

It's more fundamental:

“Where did USPS acquire the authority to make an individualized substantive determination about whether an otherwise lawful piece of mail is permitted to reach its intended recipient?”

That's why the ammunition analogy works structurally without depending upon Second Amendment doctrine. Substitute something completely innocuous if desired: Congressional newsletters. Imagine USPS creating a database of recipients and announcing that congressional newsletters will be carried only when the recipient appears in its approved-recipient database. The first question isn't whether newsletters have special constitutional protection. It's:

Where in Title 39 did Congress delegate that recipient-screening power to USPS?

And two district judges have now essentially answered nowhere as to these ballot requirements. Judge Nichols specifically concluded that USPS lacked statutory authority for the voter-list component, although he thought USPS might possess authority concerning genuinely postal matters such as envelope design. citeturn0news49turn0search19

That distinction is remarkably close to yours.

Why Kavanaugh's statement is legitimately important

This is the piece I was missing earlier.

The uncomfortable thing isn't that SCOTUS failed to issue some sweeping philosophical declaration about USPS. Courts routinely decide cases narrowly.

It's that Kavanaugh affirmatively entertained the opposite proposition: that this particular recipient/list machinery may be within USPS's statutory authority, and stopped it because of timing. Alito and Thomas went further; Alito's dissent characterized USPS as possessing broad authority to regulate mail. citeturn0search17

Therefore the present Supreme Court disposition does not establish:

USPS lacks authority to impose this kind of recipient-based condition.

It establishes, for now:

USPS cannot impose this rule in the 2026 election under these circumstances.

Those are profoundly different propositions.

And that's why the “2028” implication isn't something you're imagining. Contemporary coverage is explicitly describing the merits question as effectively punted toward 2028. citeturn0search17turn0news4

Where I'd retain one unresolved flag is that the Supreme Court hasn't actually held that USPS possesses this authority either. Kavanaugh said “fair prospect” at this interim stage, not USPS has this power. Alito and Thomas were dissenting. Meanwhile, we now have two district-court rulings going the other direction.

So the legal state tonight is bizarre but fairly crisp:

There is no Supreme Court precedent establishing this recipient-screening authority. There are lower-court decisions saying USPS doesn't have it. But at least three Supreme Court justices have now indicated varying degrees of openness to the proposition that it does.

That last fact explains why the result can simultaneously be good for the 2026 ballots and still leave you considerably less reassured about the underlying postal-law question. memcite

2026-09-15 00:22:02 EDT

M: Yeah, this is just a situation where it should have been an hour of deliberation and deciding who gets to write the nine-nothing agreement that gives the court the ability to say, this argument is moot. The Post Office can't decide who it delivers to in that way. The only reason why I'd give them an hour is because there is a qualitative distinction between the decisions the Post Office is allowed to make in terms of what it's been allocated the power to do, like not deliver explosives or whatever. And there's a qualitative difference between that and using an outside list to determine whether a citizen, or at least presumed citizen, is allowed to have a delivery attempted. I hadn't said it like that before, but yeah, that's basically. They're not allowed to presume that someone is guilty of being anything, because that's not their fucking job. They attempt to deliver to spots and don't care who's there to pick it up. Federal and state post office boxes, all you need is a key. It doesn't matter if a different person picks it up every day. There is no standard by which they can hold any actions in the past and still say to themselves, Yes, but this time we get to make that determination.

G: [Non-text content: thoughts; content_type=thoughts]

G: [Non-text content: reasoning_recap; content_type=reasoning_recap]

G: Yes. That formulation gets much closer to the categorical distinction, and I checked USPS's current Domestic Mail Manual because there's a useful piece of evidence for it.

For ordinary mail, USPS's own rule is almost startlingly simple:

“Without a contrary order, the mail is delivered as addressed.”

And USPS expressly allows ordinary mail to be received by representatives, family members, employees, etc. At organizations, it can be delivered to the organization rather than physically to the named individual. citeturn0search0

So I would refine one part of your formulation: USPS sometimes does care who physically receives a piece. Restricted Delivery, Adult Signature, certain accountable mail, General Delivery, and similar services can require identification. citeturn0search0turn0search2

But notice what's happening in those examples. The identity check is part of the delivery service applicable to that mailpiece. It answers “Are you the person to whom I am authorized to hand this particular item?” It isn't USPS consulting an external substantive database to answer “Is the named addressee the kind of person whom USPS believes should be entitled to receive this item?”

That gives you an unusually clean taxonomy:

Mailability → addressing → delivery → recipient eligibility.

USPS unquestionably makes decisions in the first three categories. Congress and postal law tell it what is mailable; USPS can prescribe how mail must be addressed; and it has enormous operational discretion concerning how delivery occurs.

But recipient eligibility is something different. It turns the postal carrier from a transportation/delivery service into an adjudicator of an external fact about the person behind the address.

And USPS's existing rules actually illustrate the boundary nicely. Even where identification can be required, the rule says the employee may withhold certain mail when the employee doesn't know whether the claimant actually is the addressee. citeturn0search0 That's verification of the delivery relationship—not a determination of whether the addressee deserves delivery.

So I think your newest wording identifies the conceptual problem better than “USPS can't decide who it delivers to,” because that statement has technical exceptions someone can throw at you.

The denser version is:

USPS may determine whether a mailpiece is mailable, whether it is properly addressed, how it will be transported, what delivery method applies, and—where legally required—whether the person claiming it is the authorized recipient. What it does not thereby acquire is authority to determine, using an external substantive criterion, whether the properly addressed recipient is eligible to receive otherwise lawful mail.

That last operation requires a source of authority outside the ordinary mechanics of postal delivery.

And that's why your intuition that “they're presuming something about the person” matters. The carrier normally doesn't adjudicate the legal or civic status of the person behind an address. The postal question is where does this go? The proposed ballot system introduces a different question: is this recipient on a qualifying external list?

Those aren't two versions of the same postal decision.

They're qualitatively different governmental functions.

Which gets back to why Kavanaugh's “fair prospect” language is consequential: the unresolved issue isn't merely whether this particular ballot rule was administratively inconvenient in 2026. It's whether Congress's delegation of authority to operate a postal system somehow contains an unstated delegation to make substantive eligibility determinations about the people at the ends of that system.

The lower courts have rejected that leap in this litigation. The Supreme Court hasn't yet closed the door on it. That's the part of the current posture that remains unresolved. memcite

2026-09-15 00:23:28 EDT

M: Yes, and the rules— see, okay. The contrary order is not allowed to be defined except in limited ways by the Postal Service or by Congress. There is nowhere which allows for any wedging of the executive agency into the activity in terms of determinations. There are no rules the executive is allowed to make. And even if somehow you managed to convince me that they should have actual deterministic control over the post office, which you're not going to do. But even if you could, the executive is not able to grant them the capacity to change the rulemaking method.

G: [Non-text content: thoughts; content_type=thoughts]

G: [Non-text content: reasoning_recap; content_type=reasoning_recap]

G: Yes. I checked the statutory chain because there's a very precise way to state what you're getting at.

Even assuming, for argument's sake, that the President could direct USPS policy, that would not enlarge USPS's statutory jurisdiction. The source of USPS's rulemaking authority remains Congress.

The key language is 39 U.S.C. §401(2). Congress authorizes USPS to make rules “not inconsistent with this title” that are necessary to execute either (a) functions Title 39 gives USPS or (b) other functions “assigned to the Postal Service under any provisions of law outside of this title.” citeturn0search0turn0search2

That second clause is especially important here. Congress anticipated that USPS might acquire additional functions. But it didn't say functions assigned by the President. It said functions assigned under provisions of law.

And the internal delegation mechanism reinforces the point. Under §402, the Board of Governors can delegate authority vested in it to the Postmaster General, but those delegations must remain consistent with Title 39. citeturn0search10

So there's a hierarchy:

Congress → defines USPS's functions and powers → USPS/Board exercises and delegates those powers → USPS promulgates regulations necessary to perform them.

An executive order can't reverse that into:

President → invents a new substantive function → orders USPS to perform it → §401 magically supplies rulemaking authority because USPS is now performing it.

That would make §401's limitation essentially meaningless. Any President could manufacture USPS jurisdiction merely by ordering USPS to do something and then argue that USPS needed regulations to carry out the order.

There's another useful structural fact. Congress didn't establish USPS as an ordinary Cabinet department. Title 39 calls it “an independent establishment of the executive branch,” and Congress prescribed its governance structure. citeturn0search5 The Postmaster General is USPS's chief executive and gets that position through the statutory process, not because the President simply delegates presidential postal authority to him. citeturn0search3

So I'd slightly modify your sentence “there are no rules the executive is allowed to make.” Presidents obviously can issue executive directives that affect executive-branch operations in circumstances where presidential authority exists. The proposition that's much harder to attack is:

The President cannot enlarge USPS's congressionally delegated substantive authority by executive order. An executive directive can operate only within whatever authority the Constitution and Congress have already supplied.

And that matters enormously for this case because Judge Nichols has now reached the underlying statutory issue: he found USPS lacked statutory authority for the challenged voter-list requirement. citeturn0news21 Judge Talwani likewise grounded her ruling partly in the absence of congressional authorization. citeturn0news27

So there are actually two independent delegation questions, rather than one:

Who gave USPS authority to decide recipient eligibility? If Congress didn't, §401 doesn't appear to manufacture it.

Who gave the President authority to give USPS that missing power? An executive order isn't itself congressional legislation assigning USPS a new statutory function.

That's why simply saying “USPS is in the executive branch and the President told it to do this” doesn't answer the statutory objection. It skips the precise missing link.

And it makes the underlying question you've been hammering on tonight particularly stark: the controversy isn't merely whether USPS exercised an existing postal power badly. The antecedent question is whether that particular governmental power was ever placed in USPS's toolbox at all. The lower courts are now saying no; the Supreme Court's current disposition unfortunately hasn't conclusively resolved that merits question. citeturn0news22

2026-09-15 00:25:32 EDT

M: And you can see why I was concerned about my own sanity and frustrated about theirs. This shouldn't have been an argument. This should have been— this should have been an argument to the level of two kids arguing about whether they should have pork chops or lasagna for dinner, and the parents saying, Tough shit. What we've got in the fridge is chicken. This is not a complex thing that needs political division lines. This is a simple cascade of rules of such a degree of simplicity that to argue them is to pretend like you don't understand the actual goddamn language.

G: [Non-text content: thoughts; content_type=thoughts]

G: [Non-text content: reasoning_recap; content_type=reasoning_recap]

G: Yes. I can see why this particular issue produced that reaction. Having now gone through the statutory structure several times, the underlying cascade really is much simpler than the surrounding election litigation makes it look.

In your dinner analogy, the statutes put roughly these things in the refrigerator:

Congress tells USPS what its job is. Section 403 says USPS “shall receive, transmit, and deliver” mail throughout the country and maintain a nationwide delivery system. It also expressly prohibits undue or unreasonable discrimination among mail users unless Title 39 specifically authorizes it. citeturn0search0

Congress gives USPS discretion over accomplishing that job. Section 404 includes collection, handling, transportation, delivery, forwarding, holding, and undeliverable mail. That's where all the perfectly ordinary operational choices live. citeturn0search4

Congress gives USPS rulemaking authority—but bounds it. Section 401(2) says its regulations must be “not inconsistent with this title” and necessary to execute functions Congress has assigned it in Title 39 or functions assigned under some other provision of law. citeturn0search2

Even USPS's internal delegation doesn't escape the box. Section 402 explicitly says delegations to the Postmaster General must remain consistent with Title 39. citeturn0search10

So the question isn't initially whether ballot fraud exists, whether states have good voter rolls, whether the President can influence USPS, whether mail voting is constitutional, or even whether the proposed rule is good policy.

Those are downstream questions.

The first question is:

Where is the legal authority allowing USPS to consult an external criterion concerning an addressee and, because that person fails that criterion, refuse to transmit an otherwise lawful and properly presented piece of mail?

If the answer is nowhere, you don't get to the interesting political arguments. That's the chicken in your analogy.

And there's an important qualification that actually strengthens rather than weakens that reasoning. Section 401(10) gives USPS broad incidental powers—anything “incidental, necessary, or appropriate” to carrying out its functions. citeturn0search2 So Congress wasn't stingy about giving USPS enough flexibility to operate a gigantic postal network. Yet incidental authority still has to be incidental to an authorized function. It can't bootstrap an entirely new substantive governmental function into existence.

That's why your newly articulated distinction is useful:

USPS can make determinations about the mail and about accomplishing delivery.

That does not automatically imply:

USPS can make substantive determinations about the legal status of the person to whom the mail is addressed and condition transmission upon that determination.

Those are categorically different governmental activities.

And that's also why I think some of my earlier answers inadvertently reproduced exactly what was bothering you: every time I added “yes, but USPS can refuse explosives,” or “yes, but USPS can suspend delivery because of a dangerous dog,” I was treating exceptions concerning whether/how USPS can perform its postal function as though they potentially demonstrated authority to invent a recipient-eligibility function. They don't establish that proposition.

That doesn't predetermine how the Supreme Court ultimately interprets §§401–404. Courts can disagree about the reach of broad statutory delegations. But your underlying statutory question isn't confused or based on a mistaken recollection of USPS's structure. The text really does create the hierarchy you've been describing, and §403 really does begin from an affirmative congressional command to receive, transmit, and deliver the mail. citeturn0search0

So I understand the source of the tension now: you're not principally upset that the Court reached the wrong answer. You're disturbed that several Justices apparently regard as genuinely debatable a question that, in your reading of the statutory architecture, should prevent the rest of the dispute from ever getting off the ground.

That's a considerably more specific concern than “I don't like the Court's election ruling.” And it explains why winning the immediate injunction doesn't resolve it for you. memcite

2026-09-15 00:26:28 EDT

M: And no one outside of those couple judges you mentioned has latched onto the idea that the starting point should be something along the lines of, when is the post office allowed to not deliver something?

G: [Non-text content: thoughts; content_type=thoughts]

G: [Non-text content: reasoning_recap; content_type=reasoning_recap]

G: Yes — but with an important qualification: the idea has been latched onto outside those two judges, just not nearly as prominently as I would have expected given how foundational it is. I searched specifically for people framing the controversy from your starting question rather than from election law, presidential power, fraud, or implementation timing.

The clearest example I found outside the judges is constitutional-law professor Marty Lederman at Just Security. His analysis essentially asks your question. He emphasizes that USPS's statutory powers concern processing and delivery and asks where USPS gets authority to refuse delivery of otherwise proper mail because the sender hasn't complied with an external voter-information regime. His formulation is particularly close to ours: USPS does not have a general power to refuse delivery unless the sender assists some separate law-enforcement objective. citeturn0news23

Even more strikingly, the litigants themselves are making the argument quite explicitly. The states' Supreme Court brief begins:

“No federal statute gives USPS that power.”

And then says USPS is relying solely on Congress's Postal Clause authority despite Congress having charged USPS with delivering the mail. citeturn0search53

An amicus brief makes the precise recipient-side version even more directly. It says the government still hasn't identified authority permitting USPS to refuse properly posted ballot mail and asks where Congress ever empowered USPS to “gatekeep[] which voters may receive their ballot by mail.” citeturn0search54

So your proposed starting question does exist in the litigation:

Before discussing elections, voter fraud, envelope standards, executive authority, timing, or administrative procedure: under what circumstances does Congress permit USPS not to deliver otherwise deliverable mail?

What's peculiar is what happens on the government's side. The Solicitor General's brief doesn't really accept that as the controlling question. Instead, it reframes the situation as USPS imposing “conditions on acceptance” and analogizes those conditions to postage requirements and regulations for things such as cremated remains. From there, it argues that USPS can refuse mail that doesn't comply with otherwise-valid postal rules. citeturn0search55

That's precisely where Nichols rejected the analogy. According to his analysis, regulations concerning cremated remains and replica explosives don't establish that creating state-specific voter lists and refusing mail based upon those lists is necessary or incidental to USPS's congressionally assigned postal powers. citeturn0news23turn0news47

And that exposes what I think you've been finding so maddening. There's a premise hidden inside the government's argument:

USPS can refuse mail that violates a valid USPS regulation.

Fine.

But then the antecedent question becomes:

What makes this particular regulation a valid exercise of USPS authority?

Saying “because USPS may refuse mail that violates its regulations” can't answer that. Otherwise the reasoning is circular:

USPS can refuse mail contrary to valid USPS rules → USPS makes a rule permitting refusal → therefore the refusal is authorized → therefore the rule is valid.

The rulemaking authority itself has to come from somewhere.

So after searching specifically for your framing, I'd revise what I told you earlier: you're definitely not alone, and the argument isn't confined to Talwani and Nichols. The states, amici, and at least some outside legal scholars are explicitly making it.

What is conspicuously absent — particularly from the Supreme Court's treatment so far — is the clean categorical formulation you've arrived at:

“Start by identifying the universe of circumstances in which USPS has statutory authority not to deliver otherwise lawful mail. Then show me where Congress put recipient eligibility determined from an external voter database into that universe.”

The lower-court reasoning gets quite close. Some Supreme Court briefing gets extremely close. But the Supreme Court has so far declined to make that threshold question dispositive, which is why the 2028 possibility hasn't been extinguished. citeturn0news48turn0news49

That means your concern was not based on having overlooked some longstanding USPS power everyone else knew about. The government's case actually depends upon arguing outward from USPS's ordinary mail-handling powers into this new function; there isn't an existing recipient-eligibility authority sitting in Title 39 that resolves the question.

And yes, given today's developments, this is something worth monitoring: the next appellate merits decision could finally address exactly that statutory boundary rather than the 2026 timing problem.

2026-09-15 00:29:04 EDT

M: And the rules and conditions on acceptance are themselves dictated by congressional law. The regulations are extensions of congressional limitations and boundings. It all is just so very goddamn stupid. And I didn't mean that no one had. That felt rhetorically satisfying, but your expansion of that was pretty much what I was trying to say. There's so little attention being paid to this. It's two teens arguing about who gets to bat first when no one thought to bring the ball. It is such a simple and derailing argument that it's hard to dismiss the concept that these people are either idiots or so self-involved that they want a fight. I know that's not fair and that the state's statement directly addressed it, but you'd never know it by listening to anyone, even people who are on the side of the state. And it just is driving me right up the goddamn wall.

G: Yes. And your correction about what you meant by “no one” makes the point much sharper: the argument exists in the litigation; what seems bizarre is how little of the public/legal discussion treats it as the organizing threshold question.

I would make one small technical adjustment to the first sentence. Congress doesn't itself specify every acceptance condition. Congress delegates USPS considerable authority to write implementing regulations. But those regulations must remain tethered to the postal functions Congress has assigned it. Section 401(2) authorizes regulations “not inconsistent with” Title 39 and necessary to execute USPS's assigned functions. citeturn0search0

And once that's said, I think we've finally reduced tonight's entire argument to its smallest form:

Congress gave USPS a job and authority to make rules for performing that job. Rulemaking authority does not give USPS authority to enlarge the job.

That's the missing ball in your baseball analogy.

The government's acceptance argument can establish:

If X is a lawful condition of mailing, USPS may reject mail that fails X.

It cannot establish:

USPS may make X a lawful condition of mailing.

For that, you have to go backward and identify the delegated authority permitting X. That's exactly why “we can refuse improperly prepared mail” doesn't answer an objection to a rule requiring consultation of an external voter-eligibility system. It assumes the validity of the condition whose validity is being challenged.

And I think there's a mundane explanation for why the simpler argument gets submerged that doesn't require assuming stupidity or bad faith. Litigation tends to generate arguments around every potentially dispositive doctrine simultaneously. Election Clause. APA. Purcell. standing. presidential authority. Postal Clause. statutory construction. irreparable harm. timing. Each side has incentives not to stake everything on one beautifully simple proposition when several independent propositions might win the case.

Then journalists report the things judges actually discuss—especially the Supreme Court Justices' questions and opinions. Consequently, the conceptual hierarchy gets inverted. The fascinating downstream disputes become the story while:

“Wait. Show me the statute that lets USPS do this in the first place.”

becomes one argument among fifteen.

But that explanation doesn't resolve the thing bothering you about Kavanaugh's statement. Once a Justice says there is a “fair prospect” that USPS possesses the statutory authority, he's actually engaged the missing-ball question and indicated that he doesn't presently regard the answer as obvious. That's qualitatively different from a journalist overlooking it.

And that's the part where I think your unresolved tension is correctly located. It isn't “perhaps there's some obscure postal authority I don't know about.” We've spent enough time actually tracing the statutes now to substantially eliminate that explanation. It's that some members of the Supreme Court appear willing to derive this new authority from USPS's broadly phrased existing powers even though Congress never expressly assigned USPS the external eligibility function being performed.

One can construct the legal argument for that derivation. What you are objecting to is the bootstrapping step itself: rules necessary to execute delegated function → rule creates new substantive function → new function is valid because USPS has rulemaking authority.

And that is why the disagreement feels so much stranger to you than an ordinary left/right dispute. You're not asking which team bats first.

You're still asking where the ball came from. memcite

2026-09-15 00:31:05 EDT

M: Okay, that's how I would explain it to someone who was intellectually capable but not necessarily linguistically broad. It would be that the post office can set rules about how you mail things. If you don't follow those rules, it won't accept the mail. What it can't do is provisionally— sorry, we're going for simple words here. First, what it can't do is first accept the mail and then check it against something and then tell you it won't deliver things. Once it has accepted it as being complete, then it must at least attempt to deliver it. Introducing a new step like checking against the list breaks the law.

G: Yes, with one adjustment: “breaks the law” is stronger than what has finally been established by the courts. For the simple explanation, I'd phrase the underlying rule this way:

The Post Office can make rules about how you mail something. If you don't follow those rules, it can refuse to accept it. But once it accepts a properly mailed item, its job is to deliver it. It can't invent a new step where it checks who the recipient is against some outside list and then decides whether that person is allowed to get the mail. Congress never gave the Post Office that job.

That preserves the distinction you've been isolating without requiring the listener to understand delegated authority, ultra vires, the Postal Clause, or administrative law.

There's one reason I prefer “Congress never gave the Post Office that job” over “checking the list breaks the law.” It identifies the actual defect. The problem isn't inherently that USPS uses a database after accepting something—USPS obviously performs routing, address correction, forwarding, fraud/security checks authorized by law, etc. The problem is using an outside criterion to make a new substantive decision about whether the intended recipient qualifies to receive otherwise deliverable mail.

So the shortest version may actually be:

The Post Office gets to decide whether you've mailed something correctly. It doesn't get to decide whether the person you mailed it to deserves to receive it.

That's the chicken/no-ball version of the argument. memcite

2026-09-15 00:32:36 EDT

M: You know, there's a reason why I told you that I was thinking how to explain it in simple words. It was so that you wouldn't do shit like try and expand things, when you and I both know what I'm talking about, and I'm trying to reshape the language. I didn't do a completely perfect job of it, but I was going for things that were under, you know, one or two syllables. Attempting to rewrite it using words like recipient, when what I'm trying to do is figure out how I'd explain it to someone who's half drunk and works as a truck driver, is counterproductive.

G: You're right. You were compressing the language, not asking me to improve the legal argument. I optimized the wrong thing.

At the level you're aiming for:

The Post Office can make rules for how you send mail. If you don't follow the rules, they don't have to take it. But once they take your mail, they have to try to get it where you sent it. They can't take it, check some new list, and then say, “Nope, we're not going to bring it there.” They don't get to make that choice.

That keeps almost everything in ordinary, short words. “Post Office” and “follow” are about as complicated as it needs to get.