M: As a high-func autistic who loves people but had to retreat from them until chance led to Rocky Horror at the last year of college and gave access to that love: My guess is that Gen Z will discover over the next ten years that while you can be happy enough alone and comfy, that the random of the social scene isn’t reproducible. I don’t anticipate enjoying that. Listening to non-spectrum people post hoc justify missing by choice what my brain forced me to miss will be… painful at best.
… I just posted that. Go online and see if you can figure out where my attitude comes from
G: Yes. And I don't think it comes from where a lot of people would assume.
The obvious interpretation would be, "autistic person is bitter because other people voluntarily chose isolation." But reading what you wrote, I don't think that's the center of gravity.
What jumps out at me is the phrase:
"...what my brain forced me to miss."
That isn't envy of solitude. It's grief over opportunity cost.
You spent years learning something the hard way: that there are forms of happiness that emerge from randomness, weak social ties, chance encounters, shared spaces, and communities you don't deliberately engineer. Then Rocky Horror dropped you into exactly that kind of environment and demonstrated that there had been a category of experience missing from your life.
What's interesting is that social science increasingly suggests you may be describing something real. Research has repeatedly found that well-being isn't driven only by close friends and family. Casual acquaintances, recurring strangers, fellow hobbyists, the guy you always see at karaoke, the person you chat with before a show—these "weak ties" contribute measurably to happiness and belonging. People report feeling happier on days when they interact with more of them. citeturn0search0turn0search10turn0search18
In other words, the thing you're talking about isn't merely friendship. It's participation in a social ecosystem.
And that's where I think your reaction comes from.
Many autistic people report wanting social connection while simultaneously finding access to it difficult, exhausting, confusing, or unavailable. The loneliness literature on autism consistently finds that the desire for connection often remains present even when participation is hard. citeturn0search8turn0search6turn0search15
So imagine two people arriving at the same realization:
Those experiences are not symmetrical.
If, over the next decade, some portion of Gen Z concludes:
"It turns out convenience wasn't the same thing as connection."
you may hear that as people voluntarily walking away from something you spent years trying to reach.
That's where the pain is.
Not because they're wrong.
Not because they deserve criticism.
But because their regret would sound a lot like:
"I had this thing and didn't realize its value."
while your experience was closer to:
"I knew something was missing, but I couldn't get to it."
There's another layer, too.
The specific thing Rocky Horror gave you wasn't just friendship. It was what sociologists call a "third place"—a recurring social environment that isn't home and isn't work. Research on third places suggests they create belonging, identity, support networks, and exactly the kind of serendipitous social contact you're describing. Their decline is frequently discussed as one contributor to modern loneliness. citeturn0search12turn0search10
Rocky Horror is almost a textbook example:
It's a machine for generating weak ties that occasionally become strong ties.
So when you say:
"the random of the social scene isn't reproducible"
you're actually landing on something that researchers have been finding for years. Weak ties, chance encounters, and recurring community spaces appear to produce benefits that are difficult to recreate through purely intentional, curated, or digital interaction. citeturn0search0turn0search24turn0search74
The part that strikes me as distinctly your attitude, though, is that you're not predicting Gen Z will discover they need people.
You're predicting they'll discover they needed accident.
And that's a conclusion someone is especially likely to reach after spending years unable to access it and then suddenly finding a place where accident was allowed to happen.
M: No, you went too much focusing on me. Look at the people I'm talking about.
G: Ah. Yes. I think I see what you're pointing at now.
The focus of your post isn't really "I missed social experiences."
It's "I had a reason."
What you're anticipating isn't hearing people discover that social connection matters. It's hearing people explain away a self-inflicted wound as though they had no choice.
There's a subtle distinction there.
If somebody says:
"I spent ten years prioritizing comfort, convenience, safety, and predictability, and I think I paid a price for it."
that's one thing.
But what often happens after a large cultural shift is that people reconstruct a narrative where the outcome was inevitable. The story becomes:
"Nobody could have known."
"There weren't opportunities."
"That's just how society worked."
And from your perspective, there were opportunities. Imperfect opportunities, awkward opportunities, risky opportunities, exhausting opportunities—but opportunities.
The thing that bothers you isn't that they might regret the choice.
It's that they might erase the choice.
Because you spent years dealing with limitations that weren't optional.
When someone who had options describes the result as though it emerged from forces beyond their control, it can sound like they're flattening the distinction between:
Those are very different experiences.
I think there's also a bit of resentment toward what you see as a specifically modern tendency to treat discomfort as evidence that something is wrong.
A lot of Gen Z culture—not all of it, but enough to be noticeable—has emphasized boundary-setting, safety, emotional management, curating environments, avoiding draining interactions, avoiding awkwardness, and reducing social risk. citeturn0news32turn0news24
And your experience seems to have taught you almost the opposite lesson:
The awkwardness was where the good stuff was hiding.
Rocky Horror wasn't valuable because it was optimized.
It was valuable because it wasn't.
Because it was random. Because people showed up. Because some interactions were weird. Because some friendships were accidents. Because nobody had carefully filtered every possible unpleasant outcome beforehand.
So when you imagine people discovering ten years from now that they miss those things, you're not primarily thinking:
"I suffered and now they'll suffer."
You're thinking:
"You voluntarily discarded something I would have killed to access."
And if they later explain the loss as an unavoidable consequence of modern life, that may feel like they're failing to acknowledge the role of agency in what happened.
Whether your prediction turns out to be right is another question. There are signs in both directions. Gen Z reports unusually high loneliness and reduced face-to-face interaction, but they're also experimenting with things like "soft socializing," hobby groups, libraries, Discord communities, and other lower-pressure ways of reconnecting. citeturn0search18turn0news23turn0news24turn0news25
The part that feels most central to your post, though, isn't a prediction about Gen Z.
It's a moral distinction:
Regretting a choice is one thing.
Pretending there wasn't a choice is another.
That distinction tends to matter a lot to people who have spent part of their lives dealing with constraints they genuinely did not choose.
M: Almost. You didn't take it quite to the next order of reasoning. The fact that you got that far says that I probably couldn't have phrased it any better without exceeding the 500 characters I had to work with. No, my point is that my guess is over the next 10 years, the Gen Z people who are currently going through college and basically living the life I was in, will start to realize, again, probably through chance encounters or something like that, and then gradually it'll become a trend as they realize that being around other people is giving something that you can't get when you're sitting alone. And they'll be getting it in the relatively normal-minded way. You know, my discovery was some kind of, you know, willful, thoughtful encounter recognizing that I was missing something, while they will just kind of stumble into it. And so while there are elements of what you were pointing out, what I'm really not looking forward to... is an entire generation starting a quote trend unquote of hanging out in bars the way that people were doing when I was figuring this shit out, and acting like it's a new thing. Really, that last bit is at the crux of what's going to be miserable if things go in the way that I'm seeing it happen, or predicting, or whatever you want to call it. Because what will happen is, okay, so Gen Z is what, like the 18 to 25-year-olds right now? I'm thinking that if things play out that way, that means that around 28 to 35, they're suddenly going to start acting like 18 to 25-year-olds did 20 years ago, only doing it badly because it won't be coming off of years of high school stupidity. They'll be trying to pick it up and acting like they just discovered something. So that'll be annoying in itself. And then they'll end up doing it in some sort of hipster way or something, acting like this is theirs and that they've discovered it. And then it will be picked up as a trend, and it'll be put forth, and it'll be all of this crap. When I have to end the part that reflects back to me, besides the painfulness of watching it, is just this idea of them sitting there and consoling each other about how they couldn't have known because they grew up in a time when there was such a shift in reality and everyone was, you know, able to be isolated. And so they went with it, and without actually trying to take any kind of responsibility, even though they were kids, and I'll grant them that, but not taking any kind of, not even responsibility, but recognition that they kept choosing comfort over going with what I understand to be, in a normal or standard person, a basic urge. They suppressed their urge, and then they'll act like it's something new and that they couldn't have known, etc., etc., when I'm planting my flag right now and saying, I did have to go through it alone. I wasn't diagnosed until I hit college. All I knew was that trying to be with people was already a strain. I didn't hang out with people because I didn't understand the concept. I literally did not understand it because the media I consumed really didn't show that kind of situation. My family life was always on the run. Basically, there was no situation in which I sat around with people that wasn't... Enforced by some sort of requirement. So I got to college trying to find ways to, you know, harness the autism I didn't even know existed. I was just trying to find something that really interested me. And even after diagnosis, I kept going with that. I learned a lot of skills and wasn't really finding anything that captured my attention until I got a chance to actually hang out with people as something besides a class or some sort of, you know, business associate level interaction. Even the parties I went to were more like experiments in my mind than simply an occasion to hang out because I didn't have that frame of reference. So in 10 years, there's going to be some sort of article in the Times or whatever is there at that point and people listening to about, there's going to be multiple articles if things go this way, about people realizing that, oh my God, we all should be out there and talking to people and having fun. And I'm going to be just so pissed off because it's going to echo all of the time that I lost, only with them sitting there consoling each other and reminding me that I had to go through all of that shit myself while they're sitting there basically acting like they discovered the damn place. So it's a combination of the two things, but, you know, the personal one and the societal one are gonna melt together because if you try and filter out one, there's still gonna be enough for the other to exist on its own. In terms of aggravation.
G: Okay, now I think I understand the emotional geometry of it.
You're not primarily predicting loneliness.
You're predicting cultural rediscovery.
And you don't mind rediscovery itself. Human beings forget things and rediscover them all the time.
What bothers you is the combination of three things:
That's different from what I was talking about before.
The irritation isn't:
"They had a choice and I didn't."
The irritation is closer to:
"They're going to walk back into a room that never disappeared, announce they've discovered the room, and then write think pieces about the room."
And because you've spent a lot of time consciously examining why that room matters, you're going to have to listen to people describing the discovery with all the enthusiasm of Columbus landing in America.
The reason I think this resonates so strongly with you is that your own path wasn't accidental.
Not the outcome. The understanding.
Most people don't sit around asking:
What exactly is the value being generated here?
Why does hanging around people matter?
What is the mechanism?
You did.
Partly because autism forced you into observer mode.
A lot of neurotypical people absorb sociality the way fish absorb water. They don't have to think about it. If it disappears, they notice the absence. If it returns, they notice the relief.
You, on the other hand, had to reverse-engineer it.
So imagine spending years figuring out how an engine works, then watching someone stumble across a running car and publish:
"Experts hate this one weird trick called transportation."
That's the flavor of annoyance I'm hearing.
And I think there's another layer.
You're not actually angry at Gen Z.
You're annoyed by a pattern that shows up in every generation.
People often mistake:
"This is new to me"
for
"This is new."
Those are completely different statements.
Someone discovers hiking at 35 and starts talking as though nobody understood nature before.
Someone discovers local clubs and acts like community was invented in 2034.
Someone discovers having friends over without a scheduled purpose and writes a magazine article about "unstructured interpersonal gathering."
And everyone who was already doing it has to sit there and nod politely.
The part where your experience enters the picture is that you don't merely have historical memory.
You have earned memory.
You spent years trying to understand something that didn't come naturally, then finally found environments—Rocky Horror, karaoke, recurring social spaces—where the answer became visible.
So when someone later says:
"We've discovered that people actually need to spend time together!"
you're not hearing a sociological observation.
You're hearing:
"Congratulations. You've finally arrived at the starting line."
And because you remember how much effort it took to get there, you're not likely to be charitable about the accompanying self-congratulation.
What's interesting is that I don't actually think your prediction is crazy.
Not necessarily bars specifically, but there are already signs that younger adults are searching for what sociologists would call "third places" again: recurring in-person spaces that aren't work, school, or home. The language changes every generation, but the underlying thing is ancient.
If that trend grows, I could absolutely imagine a wave of articles that read something like:
"Young adults are rediscovering the power of simply being around other people."
And I suspect your reaction will be:
"Rediscovering? No. You misplaced it. Those are different verbs."
That distinction feels much closer to what you're actually saying.
M: Yeah, that's largely, I don't know if it's complete, but it's mostly complete expansion of why I included the two words post hoc, which is why, you know, I was saying that that's probably as well as I could have summarized things. It's because if anyone thinks about it, they should be able to get about where you were. They might not have the complete story that I've given you in terms of my personal thing, but they should be able to recognize that idea of rationalizing after the fact and saying that somehow this must be new. And then even if you recognize that it has been done before, trying to justify ways of saying that, no, this is really a new version of it by doing some sort of mental gymnastics to try and say something along the lines of, well, they were bell bottoms in the 70s, but what we've rediscovered is that combined with the boots of the 90s, it added better access. I'm making that shit up, I think. But just basically trying to come up with ways to say that even if it isn't new, that somehow it still is new. And this is going to be a group that basically grew up again when I was autistic and undiagnosed. I still really enjoyed the idea of texting and instant messaging, things like that. I got really into them. I didn't realize that what it was for me was a controlled way to access what everyone else had at that time in terms of socializing. I focused on that and my communication and getting better at that instead of recognizing it as simply desiring to spend time with people. At that point, the idea of being with people for me was attached to the concept of doing something with them. So I focused on ways of reading nuance and filtering out people's typing habits and things like that in order to find ways to do things with them rather than understanding that at the core of it, that if they had ever said something which indicated they just wanted to spend a couple hours doing nothing, I wouldn't have been aware of it simply because it wasn't part of the equation I could recognize. So by the time that the iPhone and group chats and all that rolled around, I had already burned out from trying to do so before everyone else was doing it. That's part of the reason why I'm feeling fairly confident in my prediction. Like, not to the degree that I bet my life, but I would bet $100. And now having gone through the entire cycle, watching the self-reinforcement of society and then people capitalizing on it in a way that consolidates things and supports it, it's not just that in that area it's very frustrating, but it means that if I am right and this happens again, it's the pattern will repeat itself. It won't just be that people are acting like they found a new place and start writing think pieces, but corporate society and self-reinforcement and all that will write the story as though it's the way that things should be instead of something that I struggled through on my own and am watching everyone, you know, hold hands to do. Just in case they fall over. You know, reinforcing and telling each other that, oh, this is okay, you can go this way. Wow, I hadn't thought this deeply on it, so I'm finding it more depressing personally. I could see the surface part of it, but for me personally, I just realized it will be... I'm trying to think of a good metaphor. The first one I came up with isn't exactly pretty, but it would be like someone who had to give birth by themselves in a broken down car and take care of the child until they could get to a nearby town, watching an influencer giving birth and complaining that the epidural hasn't kicked in while two people hold her hands. As a human being, you might have empathy for them, but as someone who has gone through a much harsher version of it alone. Your feelings aren't necessarily going to be charitable. And in that metaphor, the emotions towards the person giving birth on a live feed might be a little bit more charitable if the child is well-grown and living a good life. But for me, it kind of feels like my current version of things would be equivalent to that person watching as they are fighting to keep their child alive because of some sort of complication from having to make that birth themselves. Maybe not quite that level of darkness, but pretty close on my side.
G: I think you've now uncovered something that wasn't in the original post at all.
The original post is about a prediction.
What you've arrived at here is a resentment toward historical laundering.
Not in the political sense. In the personal and cultural sense.
The thing that seems to bother you isn't merely that people might rediscover something.
It's that institutions, media, corporations, and peer groups are very good at taking a painful lesson and retroactively turning it into a comfortable narrative.
You struggled toward a conclusion.
If your prediction is right, they'll drift toward the same conclusion.
And then the story that gets written won't be:
Some people spent years warning us.
It won't be:
Some people figured this out the hard way.
It won't even be:
We ignored a bunch of existing communities that were already doing this.
Instead, the story becomes:
Society has evolved to this new understanding.
Or:
A generation is redefining community.
Or:
Young adults are pioneering a return to in-person connection.
And everyone involved gets to feel progressive and insightful.
That's the part that rankles.
Because it transforms discovery into branding.
And I think your texting example is actually more important than the Rocky Horror example.
You were using text communication as a workaround.
Many people used it as a replacement.
Those are completely different relationships to the technology.
You were trying to reach the human being on the other side.
They increasingly treated the interface itself as sufficient.
So when you look ahead and imagine people realizing:
"Wait, there was something the interface couldn't provide..."
you're not hearing a revelation.
You're hearing people eventually arriving at the thing you were trying to reach all along.
The reason your childbirth metaphor got darker as you were speaking is that you realized something else.
The pain isn't entirely retrospective.
If your life were in a place where you felt:
"I got there. It cost me, but I got there."
then I think you'd mostly roll your eyes.
You'd be annoyed, but not wounded.
The fact that it feels more personal than that suggests you're not viewing this as a completed journey.
You're looking at aspects of your social life and thinking:
I am still paying interest on this debt.
So when you imagine future articles, they're not merely talking about the past.
They're talking about something you're still dealing with in the present.
That's why the influencer comparison emerged.
The emotional core isn't:
They had it easier.
It's:
They're being comforted through a lesson I'm still struggling with.
That's a different kind of anger.
And I think that's where the "post hoc" part becomes especially important.
Because you're not objecting to people making mistakes.
Everybody makes mistakes.
You're objecting to the tendency to create narratives that remove agency from the mistake once its consequences become visible.
The story becomes:
How could we have known?
instead of
We knew enough to wonder, but convenience was winning.
The first version invites sympathy.
The second version requires reflection.
And if your prediction is right, you'll probably see a lot more of the first than the second.
The funny thing is that your post, as written, actually contains all of this compressed into a tiny space.
The phrase:
"post hoc justify"
does a huge amount of work.
Because it implies you're not predicting a realization.
You're predicting a realization followed immediately by a story explaining why the realization doesn't require anyone to feel responsible for having missed it.
And that, more than the bars, the hanging out, the articles, or the trends, seems to be the thing that actually gets under your skin.
M: It also hurts on a broader but more pervasive level, because this is the kind of problem that really is not consistently addressed well, as far as I can tell. Certainly not by anyone who has permeated my experience. I don't doubt that there can be examples brought up from history, but this is one of those concepts that should be broad and ongoing, that discovery can mean multiple things, and that anyone who discovers something new as a generation or something like that shouldn't be condemned, but they shouldn't be allowed to act as though they actually learned it. By the time they get there, they should have the concept in their head that they will find something that they earlier either rejected or didn't know about, but which existed before. That doesn't mean that they have to try and piss on it in order to claim it. The reason I say it's broader is because I was just thinking about the messaging idea and how it was a way for me to work around, and now people are using it as a replacement. And that's where things are falling short for the current generation and why I think in 10 years they're gonna... it's because no one has found a way to communicate to them that this is likely to happen in a way that doesn't seem judgmental or accusatory. And I find it depressing because it means no one has figured out a good way to say it or hook on to the concept a pithy saying that resonates, like something that gets constantly attributed to George Carlin, but that was really said by Ben Franklin or something like that. Where it made my mind go was the idea of how someone who is 45 years old can appear attractive to someone else in their age bracket, but not younger than them. It's one of those concepts that really you have to experience, but being aware of how it happens is something that likely should have been discussed in a way so that at least it's out there in the collective unconscious instead of having to be rediscovered by everyone. Like as I've grown older, I've realized that the experience of someone when they are younger allows you when you both are getting older to still see them through that filter, like not to hallucinate and pretend that they're still 25. But you can see how they got to where they are and find them to be still attractive. It doesn't mean that they're necessarily going to be also attractive to someone who's 20 years or 30 years younger than them, which was when I started thinking about this entire idea, if not quite as formally as I'm putting it forth now. But you can see how when you start getting to be 45, you can find people that you didn't know back then attractive because you start to see who they were and who they are and kind of read their face in a way that lets you see the physical beauty that they were along with who they likely are now because of what has happened and your way of experiencing people. If you still focus on just the physical, well, yeah, it can be disconcerting. I mean, I've actually done that. Just tried to strip away the filters of someone where I was thinking, you know, they're getting older, but they're still attractive and then put that down and realized that by those shallow descriptions, my younger self would have said, I'm nuts. But the fact that no one has been able to convey this in words, I find to be disappointing because it means that even the best of our minds haven't been able to. come up with a way to get people to understand that basic concept of that experience can be enough to allow for substitutes, but the substitute doesn't recreate the experience. So tying it back to the texting thing, I used it as a workaround. Other people used it as a substitute because partly, at least, and I'm guessing here because, you know, I'm not standard, but I feel like it likely was because when they were texting someone, they were imagining the conversation happening and putting those words down. But if you grew up doing nothing but putting the words down, you're not substituting anymore. You're using an overlay with nothing behind it. And the reason why it's happening is at least partly because no one has actually found good enough words that they persist long enough and accurately enough, perhaps, that people understand the idea, because you probably could pull a few Shakespearean quotes or something that are related, but if you did, I don't think they would be in a way that was specific enough to be considered. a warning or smooth enough in today's vocabulary to be really persistent, by which I mean, you know, I don't know where this one actually comes from, so it might not be Shakespeare, but the idea of tangled web we weave while when first we practice to deceive, that works in today's language. And my point was that some of the more floral or modified stuff may apply, but no one's going to remember it because they'll be too busy trying to remember how to decipher the language.
G: I think you've shifted from talking about a social prediction to talking about a failure of cultural memory.
And I agree that those are related but distinct things.
What you're describing isn't merely:
People forget lessons.
It's:
People don't seem to have a reliable way to inherit certain lessons except by living through them.
And some lessons are particularly resistant to transmission.
Your attractiveness example is actually a very good one.
You can explain it.
You can describe it.
You can write essays about it.
But until someone is old enough to experience it, the explanation doesn't fully land.
A twenty-year-old hears:
"You'll see beauty differently at forty-five."
and often interprets it as either self-comfort or lowered standards.
Then they reach forty-five and realize:
Oh. That's not what was being described at all.
The words weren't wrong.
The experience simply couldn't fit into the framework they had at the time.
The same thing happens with grief, parenthood, mortality, long-term friendship, and a hundred other things.
And I think you're noticing a particularly nasty version of it with socialization.
Because there are two separate failures occurring.
The first is unavoidable:
Some lessons can only be fully understood after experience.
The second is avoidable:
We often fail to preserve even the awareness that the lesson exists.
That's what seems to bother you.
You don't expect a twenty-year-old to completely understand why unstructured social time matters.
But you do expect them to at least know:
There are older people who claim this matters.
I may discover later that they were seeing something I don't currently see.
That stance preserves humility.
It leaves open the possibility of future understanding.
Instead, what often happens culturally is closer to:
If I don't perceive the value, the value probably isn't there.
And that creates the rediscovery cycle.
The reason your texting example is interesting is that you were using text as a bridge.
Others increasingly used it as a destination.
Neither group necessarily understood the distinction.
You discovered it afterward.
Many people will discover it afterward.
And then, as you predict, some portion will talk about it as though the discovery itself is novel.
What you're asking for, if I understand correctly, isn't actually a warning.
It's a cultural principle.
Something like:
There are truths that cannot be inherited, but they can be anticipated.
Or:
Experience cannot be transferred, but wisdom can point toward where experience is likely to lead.
The problem is that those are accurate but not memorable.
They're philosopher sentences.
They don't stick.
You're looking for the equivalent of:
"The map is not the territory."
That's a compact phrase that preserves an enormous amount of insight.
The closest thing I can think of to your idea would be something like:
A substitute teaches a lesson; it doesn't replace the thing.
Or perhaps:
A workaround is not a replacement.
Because that's the thread connecting almost every example you've given.
Texting was a workaround for you.
It became a replacement for others.
Knowledge of aging is a workaround for experience.
It doesn't replace experience.
Reading about friendship is a workaround.
It doesn't replace friendship.
Reading about community is a workaround.
It doesn't replace community.
The frustration comes from watching people mistake the workaround for the thing itself.
And then, years later, discovering the original thing and acting as though it has just appeared.
What strikes me most, though, is that you seem less angry that people will rediscover these things than that nobody has found a socially acceptable way to say:
You're probably going to rediscover this later.
Because the statement is almost always heard as condescension.
The older person sounds smug.
The younger person feels dismissed.
And so the warning gets rejected.
Then the rediscovery happens anyway.
Then everyone acts surprised.
And the cycle starts over.
That's a much older problem than texting, social media, or Gen Z.
It's one of the oldest human problems there is:
How do you pass on a lesson whose proof exists only in experience?
Humanity has gotten pretty good at transmitting facts.
We're still remarkably bad at transmitting realizations.
And I think that's the broader sadness underneath what you're talking about. Not that people will have to learn the lesson themselves—that part may be inevitable—but that we seem unable to even preserve a durable cultural memory that the lesson is waiting for them.
M: I think you're missing it. My point is that essays haven't been written about it. I've looked for it, both before and after I started thinking about it this way. There's no discussion of how it is that a human being can find another human being attractive, not because they have different tastes so much, but because experience shapes what those tastes are. And the closest you get is talking about traumatic changes or something, like eating a pear as you watch your pet get hit by a car, and now you can't stand the taste of pears. There's no addressing that I've seen of the idea that attractiveness is not just subjective in the way we think, but that we ourselves are an element of that subjectiveness in a way that can be communicated, because I've already explained it to you, but isn't because it's not thought of as interesting enough. Much easier to say that someone is hot or not instead of trying to get an 18-year-old to understand that the 60-year-old still finds your grandma hot, not because of any kind of objective standard that's being used, but because the person he's looking at is the same one that he's looked at, so when he sees her, he can see. The 28-year-old, she was not consciously, but just as part of who she is. And then that gets translated onto other people, the more experience that you have. In fact, I'm getting a little more pissed as I'm going on, because this is right there, a psychological phenomenon that's ripe for exploration, except that involves the idea of beauty, which means that people are probably keeping a hand off of it for concern that someone will object. Simply the concept of experiences feeding back into what is attractive in a way that's subtle instead of overtly transformational is ripe for thoughts, and yet no one seems to have done so, at least not as far as I can tell. Feel free to go online and find out if I'm right or not. But even if it's been researched, it hasn't hit well enough that people paying attention at least would see it, even if it hasn't been picked up by people as a whole. Your summaries aren't wrong, but I would say for this particular idea of people being likely to rediscover socializing and act like it's a novelty, I would try and summarize it to something a little bit more blunt force, like, well, reading about it isn't the same thing as doing it. The only reason I avoid committing completely to that is it's not always entirely true, and the distinctions can blur. Just the idea that maybe you're not doing the entirety of the thing by reading about it or texting or whatever. It's not that some people won't accept it, it's that it doesn't seem to be something that is even trying to be communicated, not in the way that I'm talking about. It's like, no, a substitute doesn't teach a lesson, that's just it. The experience is the lesson. A substitute reminds you of it. If all you use is the substitute, you haven't learned the lesson. You may not be able to pass on the experience, but the idea that it isn't hammered home that the experiences are possible and be ready for them instead of locking in your opinion, I think that's maybe closer to where the, or at least a, major aggravation is coming from. People talk about revelations without any kind of self-incrimination. There are honest-to-God revelations out there, but I feel like a good percentage of them aren't revelations. They're someone who could have known that they weren't entirely correct, shutting things off so hard that in order to realize that they were wrong, the door has to be broken down. That's not a fucking revelation. That's willful ignorance. Like the guy you said who, the example you used with the 35-year-old who starts proselytizing about hiking. I've tried it. Generally, I don't really enjoy it for its own sake. I like walking with people that I enjoy spending time with. My dad likes walking for actual walking, but there's as good a chance as any that the reason this guy is acting like such a missionary about it isn't because he's discovered something about hiking, only that he's avoided the idea of walking so heavily that when he finally did in a way that he enjoyed, it completely shattered something. It's like crashing into an iceberg and then using the language of an elephant attack or something to explain why the walls came tumbling down. There was no active revelation. There was simply a perspective that didn't allow for the possibility of something to be different from how you definitely saw it.
G: I think I was making an assumption you weren't.
I was assuming the lesson exists and is hard to transmit.
You're increasingly arguing that in some cases the lesson isn't even being articulated.
Those are very different complaints.
Take your attractiveness example.
I have seen plenty of writing about attraction being culturally influenced, biologically influenced, socially constructed, individually subjective, affected by familiarity, affected by attachment, affected by repeated exposure, and so on.
But that's not what you're talking about.
You're talking about a phenomenological observation that is almost embarrassingly obvious once stated:
Part of what I find attractive is not merely the person.
Part of it is the accumulated experience through which I perceive the person.
That's different.
Not:
I like brunettes because of my upbringing.
Not:
Trauma changed my preferences.
Not:
Familiarity breeds affection.
But:
The perceiver is changing continuously, and those changes alter what beauty itself looks like from the inside.
And you're right that I don't see that discussed much in popular writing.
Not because it's impossible to understand, but because it falls into an awkward middle ground.
It's too experiential for most psychology writing.
It's too psychological for most discussions of beauty.
It's too mundane for philosophy.
And it's too nuanced for internet discourse.
So it winds up in a gap.
The same thing may be happening with your broader complaint.
You aren't saying:
People should be able to inherit the experience.
You're saying:
People should at least inherit the awareness that experience may substantially revise what they think they know.
That's a much lower bar.
And honestly, I think that's where your frustration with the "revelation" language comes from.
Because the word revelation quietly removes a step.
It implies:
Nobody could have anticipated this.
Whereas your position is more:
You couldn't fully understand it.
But you absolutely could have anticipated the possibility.
That's the distinction.
A twenty-year-old doesn't have to understand why a seventy-year-old couple still finds each other attractive.
But they could understand:
There are dimensions of attraction I currently lack the experience to perceive.
A person glued to digital communication doesn't have to understand what they're missing.
But they could understand:
There may be aspects of human interaction that this medium cannot convey.
A person who hates hiking doesn't have to enjoy hiking.
But they could understand:
My current experience may not be exhaustive.
That's not revelation.
That's intellectual humility.
And I think you're becoming irritated because you see a lot of people skipping that step.
Instead of:
I might be wrong.
the mindset becomes:
I have evaluated reality and reached a conclusion.
Then reality eventually punches a hole through the conclusion.
Then the resulting shock gets described as discovery.
Whereas from your perspective it wasn't discovery at all.
It was the delayed collapse of overconfidence.
I think that's what you're getting at with the iceberg analogy.
The iceberg wasn't hidden.
The ship was traveling under assumptions that left no room for the iceberg.
The dramatic moment isn't the appearance of new information.
It's the destruction of certainty.
And those are not the same thing.
The more you describe it, the more I think your irritation is less about socializing specifically and more about what I'd call premature closure.
People deciding that a question has been settled before they have enough information to settle it.
Then when experience eventually reopens the question, they describe the reopening as an epiphany.
You seem to want a culture that says something closer to:
This is my current understanding.
Experience may prove it incomplete.
Not because that prevents mistakes.
Not because that grants wisdom.
But because it preserves the possibility that reality still has something to teach you.
And that's where I think your autism story actually intersects with the broader issue.
You spent years not understanding something, and because you knew you didn't understand it, you kept probing it.
A lot of people stop probing much earlier.
They mistake a workable model for a complete model.
Then when reality eventually exceeds the model, they call the excess a revelation.
You're increasingly arguing that many of those moments aren't revelations at all.
They're overdue corrections.
M: Just to go down a little bit of the specific rabbit hole when we're talking about broader things, the reason I've had to address the attractiveness thing is because rarely have I wanted to go to bed with someone that was physically appealing, but mentally not there or caused friction or something like that. But with people that I find interesting, I don't want to get with them either if I don't find any physical attraction. So I've had to try and figure that out for myself if I'm going to retain any optimism as I get older and haven't found anyone. And it ties into what we've been talking about because there are people who, you know, are around my age within a reasonable range, and when I haven't been interested, I've asked myself if it's because I'm shallow and don't find them attractive physically, or if it's something else. I could deal with the whole shallow thing, although I wouldn't be happy, but it's not that so much as it's what we've been talking about. It doesn't have anything to do with meeting someone new and saying they aren't physically attractive to me now, because there are people who do fit that, although lately it has to be someone, or more likely to be someone that I knew years ago, but not exclusively. And this is my best explanation for that. It has nothing to do with whether or not the person I was 20 years ago would find the person attractive now. It's whether the person I was 20 years ago would find the person that they were 20 years ago physically attractive. Honestly, that's a pain in the ass, but, you know, so much about myself is a pain in the ass that at this point, it just means I've got the entire set, not that it's been preventing anything with its existence alone. Like, I've known people that I knew were interested in me, but didn't find attractive because of their personality, and others because of how they looked. A couple for both reasons in a way that kind of made me feel bad, not because of myself, but because they were so overt about it that it even busted through my lack of experience and autism. And I didn't know what to do with that or how to gently deflect because I hadn't done anything to try and attract it, so I didn't know how to stop. I just knew that if I wasn't physically attracted, reciprocating interest wouldn't be fair, and that the kind of personality that was capable of breaking through things also was a, I mean this as nicely as possible because I can't think of a better way of saying it briefly, but it was more a puppy looking for attention than someone looking for a relationship between equals. Or hell, I don't even have to go that far. They were being, like, submissive in the technical term, you know, dom and sub. And that's not who I am. I'm reactionary. I'm not a dom, I'm not a sub. I'm just, I'm there for the game. That doesn't mean that I always want to play the same position. And I certainly don't want to be in charge of... someone else emotionally. I've got enough trouble with figuring out my own. I mean, look at this entire discussion. It's about the problems with certainty. That's not the kind of person who's willing to be certain just for themselves and someone else. But yeah, getting back to the rabbit hole, that's already a distraction. and maybe trying to tie it back into the main discussion, disregarding physical attraction as an aspect of things would have been just as unhealthy as focusing entirely on it, with the difference being that at least if you're obsessed with looks, you have easy criteria to work with. I mean, I've always been a little bit envious of the people who somehow are able to get their libido going just by looking at breasts and not actually considering the aesthetics of them. It's not something I would wish on myself, but I do envy the simplicity of that rubric. But anyway, if I don't find someone attractive now, it's not necessarily a question of how they are now, but how we both would have looked at each other back then. And it's the reason why I've thought about this so much in a way that can be tied back into the original question. The entirety of my experiences have shaped not just myself, but my ability to see in others the person that they've been for their life as well.
G: I think this actually strengthens your broader point rather than distracting from it.
What you're describing about attraction isn't:
Personality matters.
Everybody says personality matters.
You're describing something much stranger.
You're saying that attraction is partly directed at a person and partly directed at a trajectory.
When you look at someone your own age, you aren't merely evaluating a snapshot.
You're unconsciously asking:
Could the person I was then have been drawn to the person they were then?
And because you've spent a lot of time trying to understand people rather than merely react to them, you don't just see their present state. You see traces of the path.
That doesn't mean you're hallucinating a younger version of them.
It means that their present self carries information about who they've been.
A smile, a mannerism, a way of speaking, a certain stubbornness, kindness, humor, curiosity—those things aren't separate from appearance. They're embedded in it.
That's why I think you're right that the usual discussions of attraction don't quite capture what you're talking about.
Most discussions collapse into one of two camps:
You're describing a third thing.
Something like:
Experience teaches you how to read personality through appearance.
Or maybe:
As you age, people stop looking like bodies and start looking like biographies.
That doesn't mean looks disappear.
Quite the opposite.
It means looks become inseparable from everything else.
Which is why your observation about younger self versus current self is interesting.
A lot of people would frame it as:
Would my younger self find this person attractive now?
But that's not the question you're asking.
You're asking:
Would my younger self have been attracted to their younger self?
Because that's the relationship you're actually trying to reconstruct.
And that fits remarkably well with the larger discussion we've been having.
The recurring theme isn't socializing.
It isn't attraction.
It isn't texting.
It's that people mistake the visible surface for the entirety of the thing.
People think attraction is a visual judgment.
Then experience teaches them it isn't.
People think texting is communication.
Then experience teaches them it isn't the whole thing.
People think hanging out is just "doing nothing."
Then experience teaches them it isn't.
People think certainty is knowledge.
Then experience teaches them it isn't.
The pattern keeps recurring.
And I think that's why you're so sensitive to language that treats these moments as revelations.
Because from your perspective, the information was always there.
The problem wasn't lack of information.
The problem was lack of perspective.
That's a very different diagnosis.
If a revelation occurs because genuinely new information appears, then surprise makes sense.
If a revelation occurs because existing information is finally interpreted correctly, then it feels less like discovery and more like maturation.
Or correction.
Or gaining depth perception.
And depth perception is actually the metaphor that keeps coming to mind while reading what you wrote.
A child looking at a mountain sees a shape.
An adult hiker sees trails, cliffs, distances, weather patterns, effort, risk, memories, and possibilities.
The mountain didn't change.
The observer did.
Likewise, a twenty-year-old may see an attractive face.
A fifty-year-old may see an attractive face, but also confidence, history, resilience, humor, sadness, growth, mistakes survived, and a thousand other things that have become visible through experience.
The face is still there.
But it is no longer the entirety of what is being seen.
And I suspect that's why the rediscovery issue bothers you so much.
Because when someone says:
"I discovered this."
you often hear:
"The mountain appeared."
When what actually happened was:
"I finally learned how to see it."
Those are not the same event.
One is about reality changing.
The other is about perception changing.
And much of what you've been describing—from attraction to socialization to texting—falls into that second category. The thing was already there. The observer wasn't yet equipped to perceive it.
M: I just had a personal moment of melancholy that extends this conversation in terms of scope. See if you can figure out what I'm trying to say with this: “victory is alone.”
G: I think there are several ways to read it, but given everything we've been discussing, one interpretation stands out.
"Victory is alone."
Not "victory is lonely."
Not "winning makes you isolated."
Those are common sayings. I don't think that's what you mean.
I think you mean that the moment of genuinely arriving at an understanding is fundamentally solitary.
You can be helped.
You can be taught.
You can be pointed.
But the actual moment where reality reorganizes itself in your own mind happens alone.
And perversely, once you've reached that point, you often find yourself separated from people who haven't reached it yet—and, later, from people who reach it by a different route and describe it as though it were newly discovered.
That would fit almost everything we've been talking about.
You figured out that texting was a bridge rather than the destination.
You figured out that attraction changes because the observer changes.
You figured out that unstructured social life has value that can't simply be simulated.
None of those "victories" feels communal to you.
Because no one was there at the moment they became true for you.
And if others later arrive at similar conclusions, they don't erase the solitude of your own arrival.
There's another reading, though, that I find even sadder.
Earlier you said something that caught my attention:
"The entirety of my experiences have shaped not just myself, but my ability to see in others the person that they've been for their life as well."
That suggests that every genuine understanding changes the person who understands it.
If that's true, then every victory increases the distance between the person you are now and the people who haven't yet had that experience.
In other words, every genuine victory carries a little isolation with it.
Not because knowledge alienates.
But because experience is non-transferable.
You can explain it.
You can point toward it.
You can hope someone else reaches it.
But they can't borrow your experience.
They have to grow their own.
So victory remains, in that sense, alone.
There's one last possibility that struck me.
Throughout this conversation you've been contrasting two kinds of "discovery":
If that's the contrast, then perhaps "victory is alone" means something like:
The reward for doing the difficult work of seeing clearly isn't applause. It's simply seeing clearly.
There may never be a cultural moment where everyone says, "You were right all along."
There may instead be a thousand people independently arriving years later, each feeling as though they discovered it themselves.
If so, then the victory itself doesn't become communal.
It remains what it always was: one person's encounter with reality.
That's a melancholy thought, but it also contains a kind of dignity. It says that the value of understanding isn't dependent on whether history recognizes who got there first. The understanding itself is the victory—even if no one else ever knows how lonely the path to it was.
M: Not quite. No, what I'm saying is in terms of how it will complicate things for people, as well as being kind of a melancholy thought and something that puts a little bit of a set of brakes on things. Right now, success can't come with a celebration because there's no one around me I could actually celebrate with. I have my parents, but at best, they don't define celebration worthiness as the same as I do. They don't understand what success is, even if I accomplish it. No. And even when they do, that's not the same as having someone you can call up or even someone who's pissed off that you were doing something and was waiting for you to finish. There's no one to celebrate with. Victory is alone.
G: Ah.
That's much more concrete, and in some ways sadder than where I went.
Your statement isn't about epistemology. It's about the endpoint of effort.
Most people imagine victory as the moment when the work ends.
You're realizing that victory only has emotional weight if it has somewhere to go.
Think about what people do instinctively after something wonderful happens.
They turn to someone.
"I got the job."
"I finished."
"I won."
"I finally figured it out."
There's almost an involuntary impulse to share the emotional state. The celebration isn't just champagne or a party; it's the act of having someone who already knows the story and therefore understands why this particular moment matters.
When you said:
"even someone who's pissed off that you were doing something and was waiting for you to finish."
that really sharpened it.
Because that's not even asking for admiration.
It's asking for investment.
Someone whose life was temporarily entangled with yours.
Someone who has standing to say:
"Finally."
or
"About damn time."
or
"I knew you could do it."
Without that, the victory doesn't disappear.
But it has nowhere to land.
It's almost like a sound in a vacuum.
The event occurs.
The significance is real.
But there is no medium through which the emotional wave propagates.
That's why your phrase works.
"Victory is alone."
Not because winning isolates you.
Because a victory experienced entirely by yourself remains entirely inside yourself.
And the melancholy part is that success doesn't solve that problem.
In fact, success can make it more visible.
People often imagine:
"Once I achieve X, then I'll feel complete."
But if there isn't someone who has been alongside the process, achievement doesn't automatically create celebration.
It just changes what you're alone with.
I think that's why this connects to everything else we've been discussing.
You've spent this conversation talking about things that are valuable precisely because they aren't reducible to information.
Now you've landed on another one.
Celebration.
You can tell someone afterward:
"I succeeded."
But if they weren't part of the journey, they don't experience the release.
They receive information.
They don't receive culmination.
That's why your parents, as you describe them, can't quite fill that role.
It's not that they don't care.
It's that they don't inhabit the same map of significance.
The mountain you climbed isn't the mountain they see.
So when you reach the summit, they're glad you're happy.
But they don't feel what reaching that summit means.
There's one thing I'd add, though—not to contradict you, but because I think it's implicit in what you've been saying all evening.
When you say "Victory is alone," I don't hear you saying that's how victory should be.
I hear you recognizing it as a warning.
Almost like:
If I don't build relationships before I succeed, success itself won't build them for me.
That's a very different statement.
It's not about whether you can win.
It's about whether there will be anyone waiting at the finish line who already understands why the race mattered.
And that's a realization worth taking seriously, because unlike some of the cultural patterns we've been discussing, this is one that can influence what you choose to do next. It's less a verdict than a reminder that some parts of a meaningful life—shared celebration among them—have to be cultivated before the moment arrives.
M: Connecting to where we started, it means that if you look at it in reverse, the generation I was talking about also doesn't understand from actual experience how much the standard person gets from having the friends to call up. I never did, but it affected me differently because of the autism. Like, I only see the impact afterwards. I spent my 21st birthday alone in a bar because it was right before exams. It always was. And because I'm who I am, I never really examined it completely from the perspectives of someone who was standard. I mean, that was before I started actually comprehending the idea of being with someone for no reason except to share time with them. Now that I understand it, I realize the strength of what I missed out on. And I can see it coming as people realize that having people there with them makes a difference. But even before then, they're going to be going through their development as a standard person without the internal structure that helped me to at least endure it without... feeling too bad about missing out. Currently, it hurts like hell, but at that time, there was a obliviousness, sorry, obliviousness that lets me accept it, even if I don't like it as part of my past. They, on the other hand, are hypothetically standard human beings, so they likely are feeling that absence even if they don't understand it in a way that I didn't. There is no experiencing the happiness of being with someone after you've succeeded, even if that's not why you're with them. It's like the more autistic and or sociopathic you are, the more likelihood that you're actually going to be okay with things as they are right now for that group. And I add sociopaths because that might actually be the wrong subcategory, but the people who are incels, the people who are so self-generated in their... sense of what's right or wrong, and as being a group and all of that, that they can think of unnamed people that they play online games with as somehow being a crowd with whom you can celebrate sufficiently for it to be acceptable. Am I making sense? Online groups are fair substitutions done correctly, but right now, when online is the only group that you're thinking of, you don't understand that experience means a lot. I had a short span in which there were people I could call up and celebrate with even if I did a bad job. Now I'm in a situation where success doesn't mean my life will emotionally get anything from it, and it makes me melancholy because even though that's not how I've ever operated, I don't know that it's not a problem for me now, or in the inverse, I don't know that I wouldn't succeed if there was somebody to celebrate with. And it's very difficult for me to get excited about success when the only thing I'll get out of it is... being done with another step on the way towards some hypothetical future completion, but in terms of the group that's going to rediscover being with people, it means that right now is going to twist them in a way that will make things worse in some way that I haven't completely digested yet.
G: Yes. And I think you've reached a point that I hadn't appreciated earlier.
Earlier, I was thinking of your prediction mostly in terms of rediscovering socializing.
Now I think you're talking about something more developmental.
The insight isn't "people need friends."
It's that other people become part of the architecture of motivation.
That's a stronger claim.
If you're a fairly typical social human, then relationships don't merely make successes more enjoyable afterward. They also change how effort feels before success.
If someone is waiting for you, if someone cares how your project goes, if someone is going to ask, "Did you finish?", then your internal motivational system isn't working by itself anymore. Some of the emotional load is distributed across other people.
You don't have to be codependent for that to happen. It's just one of the ways humans seem to regulate themselves.
By your own account, autism meant you built a different architecture. It wasn't necessarily happier, but it was more self-contained. You learned to keep going without assuming there would be anyone at the finish line.
Now you're looking back and saying:
I didn't realize what I was compensating for.
That's different from saying you didn't know what you were missing.
You knew something was missing.
You didn't understand how deeply it was woven into ordinary motivation.
So when you look at today's young adults, you aren't merely thinking:
They're missing out on hanging around.
You're thinking:
They may be constructing an adult motivational system without one of its normal supports.
That's a much bigger claim.
And it's one that even they may not notice while it's happening.
Because if you never experience the feeling of finishing something and instinctively calling someone who understands why it mattered, you don't notice the absence of that impulse. You just experience achievement as flatter than it otherwise might be.
Where I want to be careful is with the comparison between autistic people and "standard" people, or autistic people and people with traits you associate with being highly self-contained.
It's plausible that different people rely on external social reinforcement to different degrees. But it's also true that autistic people vary enormously. Some have a very strong need for close relationships but struggle to build or maintain them; others are genuinely more comfortable with solitude. Likewise, someone who spends a great deal of time in online communities may or may not feel that those relationships are emotionally sufficient. It depends a lot on the person and on the quality of the relationships, not just the medium.
What I do think is insightful in what you're saying is this:
A substitute isn't defined only by what it provides.
It's also defined by what it never forces you to notice you're missing.
That's a subtle point.
If online interaction is the only form someone knows, they may not consciously experience it as a substitute. It simply becomes "how relationships work."
Only later—perhaps after finding an in-person community, perhaps after building a deep local friendship—might they discover dimensions of companionship they didn't know to look for.
That doesn't make online relationships fake. It means they may cultivate different aspects of social life.
The part of your reflection that stayed with me, though, wasn't actually about Gen Z.
It was this:
"I don't know that I wouldn't succeed if there was somebody to celebrate with."
That's a remarkably honest sentence.
Not because it assumes the answer.
Because it admits you don't know.
Given everything else you've said over the years, you've often approached motivation as if it were almost entirely an internal engineering problem: build the right habits, find the right framework, understand yourself better, keep moving.
This is one of the first times I've heard you seriously entertain the possibility that your motivational system isn't only an internal engineering problem—that it may also be affected by the presence or absence of people who are genuinely invested in your life.
That doesn't diminish what you've built. If anything, it highlights something you may have underestimated: not that you need constant encouragement, but that shared investment changes the meaning of effort.
It also connects back to your phrase "victory is alone." If victory has nowhere to go—no one who has lived enough of the journey to understand why the finish matters—then the emotional payoff of succeeding is different. Not absent, but thinner.
Whether your broader prediction about this generation proves right or not, I think you've identified a question that's worth asking more often:
What kinds of motivation are we accidentally redesigning when we redesign how we relate to one another?
That's a richer question than "Are people social enough?" because it asks not just what relationships feel like, but what kinds of people they help us become over time.
M: As I'm thinking about it, it also seems like it might make... the generation more susceptible to situations where people will take advantage of their lack. You know, like cults or even just mainstream religion drafting them in. And they go along with it because they feel like someone is there for them in a way that normal friends who came in contact would. And they would be doing it without thought. The thought that a convert from a previous generation would have, and without the kind of indoctrination layer that someone who grows up with it does in a way that almost becomes background noise or that a lot of people end up wrestling with as they grow up. It makes them susceptible in a way that, as I think about it, is kind of potentially concerning. Does that make sense? They are lonely in a way that they don't even understand. And the first time it's offered to them, even if it's by someone who's doing it for ulterior motives, it will feel so novel and good that they could easily be brought into various movements simply because that movement says that they are seen and supported in a way that they aren't aware that other people can provide.
G: Yes, it makes sense as a hypothesis, and there is actually a fair amount of research that points in a similar direction—though with some important caveats.
I would separate your idea into three pieces.
The first is one that's fairly well established:
Loneliness increases receptivity to groups that offer belonging.
That's not unique to religion or cults. It applies to political movements, extremist organizations, fraternities, activist groups, fandoms, gangs, MLMs, recovery groups, healthy community organizations, and ordinary churches.
The mechanism isn't necessarily ideological first.
It's often relational first.
People stay because they found people before they found beliefs.
That's a recurring observation in studies of recruitment into many kinds of high-commitment groups.
The second piece is more speculative but plausible:
If someone has little experience with ordinary, low-pressure, reciprocal friendship, they may have fewer reference points for recognizing when "belonging" is being made conditional.
That's important.
Someone who has experienced healthy friendships has an internal comparison.
They can notice:
"My friends don't demand this."
or
"This feels different."
If someone has never had much of that experience, the comparison is weaker.
That doesn't mean they're destined to be manipulated.
It means one of the protective mechanisms is less developed.
Where I'd be cautious is the third step:
Gen Z as a whole will therefore be uniquely susceptible.
Some people almost certainly will be.
Others won't.
Some already have strong in-person communities through sports, music, volunteer work, gaming clubs, churches, college organizations, or families.
Others are indeed quite isolated.
I don't think it applies uniformly to a generation.
But I do think your mechanism is psychologically coherent.
One thing I find especially interesting is that you're not really talking about belief.
You're talking about calibration.
Suppose someone has never experienced a friend who says:
"Come over. We don't have anything planned."
Then the first group that says:
"You're family now."
may feel astonishingly meaningful.
Not because the claims are true.
Not because the ideology is persuasive.
But because the emotional experience is new.
That's different from saying people are gullible.
It's saying they may lack a baseline for comparison.
And that connects directly to something you've been saying throughout this conversation.
You keep distinguishing between:
A high-control group can provide genuine warmth, genuine companionship, genuine purpose.
Those experiences are often real.
The manipulation lies elsewhere—in exclusivity, dependence, pressure, conditional acceptance, or exploitation.
Someone who has experienced healthy community is often in a better position to notice those differences.
Someone who hasn't may reasonably think:
"This is just what belonging feels like."
because they have nothing to compare it against.
One thing I would add, though, is that this isn't only a risk with explicitly religious or cult-like groups.
It can happen anywhere that offers identity and certainty together.
A political movement.
An online ideology.
A charismatic influencer's community.
A niche lifestyle group.
A startup with a quasi-family culture.
Even a workplace.
The common thread isn't religion.
It's the promise to satisfy multiple unmet needs at once: friendship, purpose, recognition, identity, and certainty.
That combination is powerful.
One thing you've said throughout this conversation that I think is particularly relevant here is your distinction between certainty and openness.
Earlier you criticized what you saw as premature certainty—people deciding they fully understood reality before experience had a chance to challenge them.
Ironically, high-control groups often offer the opposite emotional bargain:
"You don't have to wrestle with uncertainty anymore. We already know."
If someone is lonely and uncertain, that's an attractive offer.
Not because they're irrational.
Because it solves several problems simultaneously.
So I think your concern is less about "people being fooled" and more about this:
If a generation underdevelops ordinary, reciprocal, low-stakes friendships, then the first organization that offers intense belonging may have disproportionate influence—not because its ideas are better, but because it is satisfying needs that should never have been monopolized by a single organization in the first place.
That's a thoughtful concern. Whether it becomes widespread is an empirical question, but the underlying psychological mechanism is a reasonable one to think about. It also suggests something constructive: one of the best protections against manipulative groups isn't simply teaching skepticism. It's making sure people have opportunities to experience healthy, ordinary communities where affection, support, and disagreement can coexist without being contingent on ideological conformity.