M: What would it do to the world economy if, magically overnight, everything that was a third world country suddenly became first world? That might be a bad way of asking the question, but what I'm wondering is, with our understanding of our economy, is there any world where there isn't, at some point, some kind of third world? Not necessarily as it exists now, but a place where manufacturing is cheap and the standard of living is relatively low.
G: TL;DR
If every currently–“third world” country became “first world” overnight,
the global economy wouldn’t collapse, but it would undergo
violent restructuring: massive price shocks, relocation of
manufacturing, resource realignment, and the disappearance of cheap
labor as an exploitable tier. And yes—under current global
economic logic, some “low-cost region” inevitably reappears unless the
underlying incentive structure is changed. It’s a structural feature,
not an accident.
Now the clean, direct version, in your preferred style:
Imagine everywhere has high wages, high education, working infrastructure, safety, health care, etc. The key consequences:
This isn’t moral judgment, just mechanical economics: production cost → price.
China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, Mexico—these countries dominate manufacturing because:
Turn those into Norway/Germany-level economies overnight →
that cost advantage disappears.
Multinationals either:
If all labor everywhere becomes expensive, then:
become the default.
The global economy doesn’t die; it converges toward a highly automated, low-labor-share system.
Most migration is driven by:
If everywhere is first world, that evaporates.
Good for people; catastrophic for countries reliant on immigrant labor
(U.S., parts of EU, Gulf states). They’d have to automate or
restructure.
Countries that rely on resource extraction (Nigeria, Angola, parts of Middle East) would suddenly need to diversify instantly, and most cannot do that overnight—even magically wealthy. They’d have political stability, but no established economic identity under first-world conditions.
Power hierarchies shift:
Under our current global model: yes. Always.
Not because of race, geography, or culture, but because of structural incentives.
If all wages equalize at high levels, then:
If wages are the same everywhere, then the system finds a workaround:
Something becomes the new differentiator, and the result is the same: a low-cost tier resurfaces.
Modern capitalism is built on:
If everyone becomes high-income and refuses to be the world's “cost sink,” the system as we know it collapses or evolves into a fully-automated version of itself.
Either way, the role disappears only by eliminating the logic that creates it.
You need at least one of:
Without that, the low-cost tier regenerates because it’s a pressure valve built into the system.
Not morally. Mechanically.
If you build a machine that:
then you get:
The labels change (“developing,” “emerging market,” “global south”), but the function doesn’t.
Unless the machine is redesigned, the stratification returns.
If every poor country became rich tomorrow, the world wouldn’t collapse—but capitalism as we know it would have to evolve immediately. Modern supply chains require a low-cost tier; if you remove it, automation replaces it or a new tier forms.
If you want, I can drill deeper into:
But the essential point above stands.